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Advanced Neurology                                          X chromosome-mediated risk in Alzheimer’s disease



            only via the 22 autosomal chromosomes if the risk arises   UPDB, approximately 1.3 million have genealogy data for
            from the father’s side. This approach assumes that the risk   at least 12 of their 14 immediate ancestors spanning at least
            for AD mediated by the genes on the Y chromosome is   three generations. The genealogy data in the UPDB analyzed
            negligible. This may be an oversimplification. By counting   for this study have been linked to computerized Utah death
            the numbers of affected probands with unilateral parental   certificates issued from 1904 to 2014. Cause of death was
            lineage in a population-based sample, stratified based on   coded using the International Classification of Diseases
            proband sex and lineage sex, it is possible to calculate an   (ICD) revisions 6 – 10, depending on the year of death.
                                                                                                             6
            odds ratio (OR) to isolate the contribution to risk mediated   Only individuals with genealogy-linked death certificates
            by the X chromosome.  This method does not assume   coded with ICD-9 or ICD-10 were included because AD
                               17
            that all the risk in these patients is genetically-mediated.   first appeared as a coded cause of death in ICD-9.
            The details, assumptions, and limitations of this approach
            are elaborated in the Methods section. When applied to   2.1.2. Case selection
            a small, single-center Cognitive Disorders Clinic sample   Individuals with an ICD code for AD as a primary or
            of convenience, mainly consisting of incident patients,   contributing cause of  death  (ICD-9:  331.0; ICD-10:
            the estimated proportion of genetic risk borne by the   F00 or G30) were identified as AD cases. This definition
            X  chromosome  was  as  high  as  70%,  with  a  broad  CI.    was also used previously.  All individuals with ancestral
                                                         17
                                                                                   19
            The limitations of these preliminary findings have been   genealogy and a linked Utah death certificate were
            recognized,  and it is necessary to replicate and validate   analyzed to estimate population rates for AD in the UPDB
                     17
            these findings.                                    (n = 270,818). Cohort-specific rates for AD were estimated
              In this study, we sought an available dataset of patients   for cohorts classified by sex, 5-year birth year range, and
            with AD who had a family history documented adequately   birthplace (Utah or not) by determining the ratio of the
            to permit application of the new method  and replication   number of AD deaths in a cohort to the number of Utah
                                             17
            of the original analysis. We attempted to access one large   deaths in the cohort. 6
            database, but the information needed was not available, as   2.1.3. Estimation of RRs
            family history was documented only as positive or negative
                                                                                  6
            without further elaboration regarding parental lineage. We   In the original report,  RRs were estimated for many
            then explored the possibility of utilizing the UPDS. The   different family history constellations, based on the number
            UPDB is a population-based dataset of uniformly defined   of affected FDRs, SDRs, and TDRs, age at death from AD,
            patients and family histories and has already analyzed its   sex of proband, and maternal vs. paternal inheritance.
            data to demonstrate the impact not only of FDRs but also   Probands in the UPDB might be either affected (with AD)
            of SDRs and TDRs on the risk of AD.  Proband sex-specific   or unaffected. FDRs include parents, offspring, and
                                         6
            data were available for Table 1 of the original study.  We   siblings; SDRs are the FDRs of FDRs; and TDRs are the
                                                      6
            analyzed the sex-specific data using the new method  to   FDRs of SDRs. For each constellation, all probands with
                                                       17
            replicate, if possible, the original observations. 17  the specific family history constellation in the UPDB were
                                                               identified. The estimated RR for each specific family history
            2. Methods                                         constellation was calculated as the ratio of the observed
                                                               number of AD cases among the probands to the expected
            2.1. Overview                                      number of AD cases among the probands; 95% CIs for the
            This section has two major components. First, we describe   RR were calculated using the method proposed by Agresti.
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            the UPDB, and how cases were selected for the present   The expected number of AD cases among the probands
            analysis. The UPDB, case selection, and RR estimation have   was estimated by counting all the probands by cohort,
            been described previously in detail  and are summarized   multiplying the number of probands in each cohort by the
                                        6
            here, focusing on the data used for the present analysis.   cohort-specific rate of AD, and summing over all cohorts. 6
            Next, we describe the new method of analysis that we
            applied to the UPDB data.                          2.1.4. Specific summary data used in the present
                                                               report
            2.1.1. UPDB data                                   The present analysis employed data presented in Table 5 of
            The UPDB encompasses the computerized genealogy    the original report,  which were made available separately
                                                                              6
            of the Utah pioneer founders from the 1800s, and   for female and male probands. The same proband may
            their descendants to the modern day, linked to many   be considered several times, for example, with mother’s
            demographic and health-related data registries.  Of the   brother, father’s brother, mother’s sister, or father’s sister. The
                                                   18
            11 million Utah-connected individuals represented in the   present analysis relied on the proband numbers provided.

            Volume 3 Issue 2 (2024)                         3                                doi: 10.36922/an.3122
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