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Advanced Neurology                                          X chromosome-mediated risk in Alzheimer’s disease




            Table 5. Analysis based on ancestral family history, based on   UPDB population, indicating that the Cognitive Disorders
            the sex of the affected probands, and the sex of the affected   Clinic population tended to evaluate incident patients.
            parental side                                      We have previously  pointed out that the female-to-male
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                                                               ratio  of AD  in population-based  age-specific  incidence
            Proband                     Lineage
            (n=1850)         Paternal (father’s   Maternal (mother’s   studies was 1.0, and that it dropped to 0.6 when looking at
                             first cousins)  first cousins)    population-based age-specific incidence of aMCI (usually
            Female (1211)    629            582                an early clinical stage of what will evolve to be AD). The
                                                               greater prevalence of AD in women is due to their longer
            Male (639)       343            296
                                                               lifespan, or the shorter lifespan of men who die at younger
            Notes: (1) The parental lineage of AD was determined by third-degree   ages from competing causes of mortality. It is also likely
            relatives (data taken from Tables 2 and 3). (2) The calculated OR is 0.93   that males documented in the UPDB, including those who
            (629:582/343:296), with a 95% CI of 0.77 – 1.13 (P=0.48).
                                                               also might have early manifestations of AD, died of other
                                                               causes, and only these non-AD diagnoses were reflected in
            4. Discussion
                                                               their death certificates.
            4.1. Preamble                                        The 20-year gap between the average age at presentation
            Due to the paucity of loci predisposing to AD that had   of the memory disorders clinic population and the age at
            been identified on the X chromosome, we were prompted   death of the deceased population documented in the UPDB
            to develop a new method to estimate the risk for AD   suggests  that the  clinic was  seeing  patients with relatively
            conveyed  via  the  X  chromosome,   because  of  evidence   early-presenting LOAD, given that the usual average duration
                                        17
            that the risk for the disease may depend on the sex of the   of the disease after diagnosis is 3 – 8 years. In the Baltimore
            affected parent, and possibly on the sex of the offspring.   Longitudinal Study of Aging, the median survival times
            The first application of this method indicated that the risk   ranged from 8.3 years for persons diagnosed as having AD at
            borne by the X chromosome might be considerable. We   65 years old to 3.4 years for persons diagnosed as having AD
            then decided to see if a similar result would be obtained   at 90 years old.  Thus, the two studies reported on different
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            in an existing dataset of patients with AD and a thorough   populations: one on a population with relatively early onset
            history of the presence or absence of AD in their families,   LOAD, while another on a population with a much later onset
            i.e., the UPDS. Our initial results did not replicate in the   of the disease. This idea is reinforced by the observation that
            new dataset. In this section, we discuss several reasons why   the median age of the AD population in UPDB, which is
            limitations in the second dataset may have biased the result   85 years (55% of whom died after 1978), is also higher than
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            toward “null,” and how the lessons learned may influence   the average for the Utah population:  In Utah, life expectancy
            future research to advance understanding of the role of the   at  birth  for males increased from  72.4  years  in 1980  to
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            X chromosome in conferring risk for AD.            77.1 years in 2020, and for females from 78.6 to 80.9 years.
                                                               This raises the possibility that some of the affected probands
            4.2. Methodological critique                       in the UPDB suffered from a recently-recognized limbic-
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            The magnitude of the difference between the results obtained   predominant age-related TDP-43 encephalopathy (LATE),
            in this and the original study  suggests that a comparison   rather than AD. Limitations of using death certificate data to
                                   17
            of the populations between the two studies is warranted,   define cases of AD have been discussed previously. 6
            specifically looking for factors that may bias the OR in the   The third methodological difference is that while the
            present study toward unity, that were not present in the   affected probands  identified  from  the clinic  population
            original study. This comparison is presented in Table 6.  did not include individuals with a bi-parental history of
              The  chief  difference  between  the  two  studies  is that   dementia, the available UPDB data did not permit the
            one had a population largely of carefully selected, newly   exclusion of such individuals. Thus, this would bias the OR
            diagnosed, incident patients  and the  other  included   in the UPDB data toward unity.
            a population of deceased individuals, in whom the    Another  conspicuous  difference  has  less  to  do  with
            cumulative lifetime risk to develop AD has been able   methods than with yield. Less than 1% of individuals
            to assert itself. Factors that impact the initial or early   identified with AD in the UPDB were identified as having
            presentation (incidence) of LOAD, which are appropriate   a parent with AD, compared to over 50% of the cognitive
            for consideration as risk factors, may not be detectable in   disorders clinic population with a unilateral family history
            a population of deceased individuals. The female-to-male   of AD or dementia. It is challenging to explain how overall
            ratio of the probands in the previous study (Cognitive   low case finding of AD parents of probands with AD would
            Disorders Clinic)  was closer  to unity  than  that of the   affect the chances of finding male patients whose fathers


            Volume 3 Issue 2 (2024)                         6                                doi: 10.36922/an.3122
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