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Global Health Econ Sustain                               Assessing budget impact estimates based on official data



                                                                  eligible patients for each drug immediately initiate
                                                                  therapy after drug registration at the local regulatory
                                                                  agency (ANVISA, 2020) oversimplifies the real-world
                                                                  scenario. At the time of approval, other standard-of-
                                                                  care therapies already in use may be replaced by newly
                                                                  approved therapies. Besides, among the 26 indications
                                                                  listed by Borin et al. (2023), only one is incorporated
                                                                  into the public health-care system (pembrolizumab for
                                                                  advanced melanoma) despite 73.9% of the population
                                                                  being covered exclusively by the public system.
                                                               Acknowledgments
            Figure  1. Brazilian pharmaceutical market in 2022 (total billing and
            individual drug categories [CMED, 2022]) and drug budgetary impact   None.
            projected by Borin  et al. (2023). Abbreviation: CMED: Brazilian
            Medicines Market Regulation Chamber.               Funding
                                                               None.
               to identify the proper sources for drug price and
               other costs. Borin et al. (2023) relied on the CMED   Conflict of interest
               List Price, which sets the maximum price in Brazil.   The authors declare that they have no competing interests.
               However, this price may not represent the average
               price charged to different payers across the country,   Author contributions
               and it does not consider mandatory discounts for
               public payers (Coeficiente de Adequação de Preços   Conceptualization: Bruno Salgado Riveros, Marina Gatto
               [CAP]). In addition, the analysis did not include   Cavalcanti
               additional cost categories such as administration,   Writing – original draft:  Bruno Salgado Riveros, Marina
               adverse events management, and terminal care costs.   Gatto Cavalcanti, Letícia Paula Leonart
               It is worth noting that new therapies may reduce these   Writing –  review  and editing:  Mariana Papaléo Rosim,
               costs compared to current clinical practice.       André Bergamim Almeida, Cristiane Aparecida
            ii.  Lack of time-on-treatment (ToT) adjustment: Several   Licursi
               indications for pembrolizumab have maximum
               treatment durations described on the label, ranging   Ethics approval and consent to participate
               from 12 to 24  months (Keytruda Package Insert).
               However, actual treatment durations are often   Not applicable.
               considerably shorter due to factors such as disease   Consent for publication
               progression, death, adverse events, and other reasons
               necessitating therapy discontinuation. For example,   Not applicable.
               in the KEYNOTE-024 study (advanced lung cancer),
               the median ToT for patients receiving pembrolizumab   Availability of data
               was 7 months (Reck et al., 2016), a factor overlooked   Not applicable.
               by Borin et al. (2023).
            iii.  Definition  of  eligible  patients:  Existing  guidelines   References
               (Brazilian  Ministry  of  Health,  2012;  Sullivan  et al.,   Borin, M.C., Barbosa, M.M., Pereira, C.O., Martins, C.R., Dos
               2014) state the importance of clearly describing the   Reis,  D.P., Ribeiro,  G.J.,  Tupinambás, J.T.,  et al. (2023).
               rationale for estimating eligible patients to ensure   Budgetary Impact of new label indications after initial drug
               result consistency and transparency. However, Borin   registration in Brazil: A case study of pembrolizumab and
               et al. (2023) failed to provide details on their approach   trastuzumab deruxtecan. GHES, 1(1):0994.
               to estimating eligible patients, hindering thorough      https://doi.org/10.36922/ghes.0994
               assessment  by  other  health  economic  specialists.   Brazilian Ministry of Health. (2012). Diretrizes Metodológicas:
               Although the authors appear to refer to all eligible   Análise de Impacto Orçamentário. Manual para o
               patients  for  each  therapy,  not  all  patients  receive   Sistema de SaúdedoBrasil.Brasília: Secretariat of Science,
               treatment, and not all treated patients receive the   Technology and Strategic  Inputs, Department  of Science
               same therapy. In addition, assuming that 100% of   and Technology.


            Volume 2 Issue 1 (2024)                         2                        https://doi.org/10.36922/ghes.1889
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