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International Journal of
            Population Studies                                                           Japan’s death-laden society



            increasing in the future due to anticipated growth of   body is discovered by an unacquainted neighbor weeks
            health-care needs associated with the continuous aging   or months after his death (Kato, Shinfuku, Sartorius,
            of the population over the coming decades. By 2040, the   et al., 2017). Older people living alone in urban areas are
            expenditures are projected to jump to 546.7 for medical   likely to face a greater risk of lonely deaths than those in
            care and 197.1 billion USD for long-term care (Figure 2).  rural counterparts due mainly to a greater likelihood for

              This projected public burden of disease is unsustainable   the former to be childless and have weaker ties to the
            and should the current framework to finance the    communities in which they reside (Interview data, Tokyo,
            expenditures  be  maintained  in the  era  of  a death-laden   July 19, 2021).
            society (Interview data, Tokyo, 6 July 2021). As discussed   In  the  Tokyo area, for  instance,  incidents of  “lonely
            above, the majority of people in Japan die at hospitals, for   deaths” have been rapidly surging in recent decades.
            which significant financial resources are spent providing   Figure  3 illustrates the trend from 2002 through 2021
            medical care for patients suffering terminal health   of the number of those aged 65 or older who died at
            conditions.  Over  the  next  decade,  the  country  may see   home alone and were investigated by the Tokyo Medical
            an increase in the number of people who die, or choose   Examiner’s Office on the causes of death. One thousand
            to die, at long-term care facilities as an alternative to the   two hundred and seventy-four people allegedly died
            conventional, hospital deaths (Interview data, Tokyo, July   “lonely deaths” in 2002, and the number jumped to 5258
            6, 2021). Whether dying at hospitals or long-term care   by 2021, above a four-hold increase in two decades (Tokyo
            facilities, however, the ballooning of deaths from old age   Medical Examiner’s Office, 2022). To date, the data for
            will only contribute to pushing the burden of disease to   the whole country are not readily available. The case of
            insolvency. Simultaneously, this challenge will be further   Tokyo, nonetheless, may suggest that a similar trend has
            exacerbated by a continuing decline in the working age   been taking place in other major cities also, and that in the
            population who primarily finance the public health-care   coming decades, this grim phenomenon will likely prevail
            budget.                                            among a larger share of older people across the country
                                                               (Interview data, Tokyo, October 3, 2021).
            3.3. Potential prevalence of “lonely deaths” among   Dying in place with a sense of comfort and dignity
            those in advanced age                              requires, in many cases, close care and quality support
            The third area of challenge is a possible adverse effect of   from informal caregivers – the dying person’s spouse,
            promoting “dying in place” for those in advanced age in   children, or siblings in particular – especially during the
            Japan who wish to die at home rather than in hospitals.   person’s last days (Brink, 2008). In Japan, however, over
            Despite hospitals remaining the dominant place of death,   the past several decades, the number of older people who
            the majority of older people in the country would actually   live alone has been steadily increasing due in part to a
            prefer spending their final days at their homes. According   combination of their prolonged longevity, loss of spouses
            to an opinion survey conducted in 2020 with a nationally   and siblings in later life, and living away from or not having
            representative sample of those aged 75 to 84, above 64%   children (Suzuki, Dolley, and Kortt, 2021). Moreover, due
            of them expressed their desire to die at their own homes.   to the rising number of unmarried or childless people
            Moreover, over 85% of those preferring their homes   in the country, in a death-laden, Japan, the size of the
            reasoned that they considered that being at home would   childless older population is also expected to grow at a rate
            allow them to maintain a sense of self, comfort, and dignity   unparalleled in the country’s history (Park, 2020).
            up until the last moment of their lives (Nippon Foundation,
            2021). Policymakers in the country might find it urgent
            to follow other countries in promoting “dying in place”
            both to accommodate such preference of today’s older
            population and to help mitigate the prospective growth of
            public health expenditures.
              However,  pursuing  this policy  direction  may  create
            a potential adverse effect: A  prevalence of what is often
            referred to as “lonely deaths” among those in advanced
            age. A “lonely death” refers to an incident when an older
            person living alone spends his final years living alone and   Figure 3. Number of those aged 65 or older who died at home alone and
            then dying at home without care or attention from others,   were investigated on the causes of deaths, Tokyo, Japan, 2002-2021.
            including his own relatives, after which the deceased   Source: Tokyo Medical Examiner’s Office (2022)


            Volume 8 Issue 2 (2022)                         19                     https://doi.org/10.36922/ijps.v8i2.301
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