Page 11 - IJPS-9-2
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International Journal of
            Population Studies                                                 Reproductive transition of Ethiopian youths



            incidence of transition to PMS among female youths in   male and female youths. By the age of 15, one in every
            the most recent birth cohort was found to be higher than   five female youths had begun childbearing, whereas the
            the corresponding male youths (Figure 1D). Concerning   transition to parenthood for male youths was completely
            the transition to marriage, a significant reduction in the   absent. In addition, the results showed that a large volume
            cumulative incidence rate in both male and female youths   of the transition to parenthood of female youths happened
            was observed. For male youths, the inter-cohort gap   before age 20; however, for male youths, a large proportion
            became noticeable after age 19; while for female youths,   of it occurs after age 20 (Figure 1C and F).
            the  gap started  to steadily expand starting at age 15   The competing risk regression analysis result showed
            (Figure 1B and E).                                 that the inter-cohort differences in the CIF of premarital sex

              The transition to parenthood after the onset of PMS   and marriage were significant and the difference is not the
            or marriage, however, revealed a marginally positive but   same for male and female youths. For premarital sex, the
            statistically insignificant gap between birth cohorts of both   inter-cohort difference has shown a statistically significant
                                                               increase, and an extremely higher rate of increase was
            Table 2: Percent distribution of characteristics of youths of   observed among female youths than males. Contrarily,
            the 1985–1989 birth cohort by sex                  the transition to marriage has shown a significant risk
                                                               reduction with female youths having a higher risk reduction
            Characteristics             1985 – 1989 birth cohort  than males. For transition to parenthood, although females
                                         Male       Female     were  at  a  higher  risk  of  transition  to  parenthood  than
                                        (n = 750)  (n = 1003)  males, the birth cohorts had a similar risk of transition to
            Attended primary and          72.7       32.5      parenthood for both sexes (Table 3).
            above level of education
            Have exposure to media        66.8       39.2        Distribution of debut to sex, either PMS or marriage,
            Living in a well-off household  43.5     39.6      at ages 20 and 25 was compared and decomposed into
                                                               components for male and female youths.  The  gender
            Use modern contraceptive method  31.7    28.3      gap in the prevalence of debut to sex at age 20 amounted
            Became sexually active before age 20  45.7  79.3   to 28.4% and the corresponding  figure at age 25 was


                          A                         B                      C














                          A D                       E                      F














            Figure 1. Cumulative incidence of premarital sex, marriage, and parenthood among youths
            Note: (A) displays the cumulative incidence for male youths for the two birth cohorts. (B) shows the cumulative incidence for transition to first marriage
            for male youths for the two birth cohorts. (C) portrays the cumulative incidence of transition to first fatherhood for the two birth cohorts. (D) captures
            the cumulative incidence for female youths for the two birth cohorts. (E) displays the cumulative incidence for transition to first marriage for female
            youths for the two birth cohorts. (F) shows the cumulative incidence of transition to first motherhood for the two birth.


            Volume 9 Issue 2 (2023)                         5                          https://doi.org/10.36922/ijps.476
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