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Explora: Environment
            and Resource                                                         Stratification and mixed layer deepening



            period 1955 – 2100 are as follows: for t, +1°C; for θ, +1°C;   increases in upper-ocean stratification and mixed-layer
            for cl, +3%; for s, +20%; and for S, +100 m.          depth. Nature. 2021;591:592-598.
              While the mathematical demonstration provided by      doi: 10.1038/s41586-021-03303-x
            the model does not constitute absolute proof of these   3.   Capotondi A, Alexander MA, Bond NA, CurchitserEN,
            phenomena, it offers a compelling argument for their   Scott  JD. Enhanced upper ocean stratification with
            validity. If the model’s projections are broadly accurate,   climate change in the CMIP3 models.  J  Geophys Res.
            these raise serious questions about the reliability of the   2012;117:C04031.
            scenarios envisaged by major climate institutes in recent   4.   Durack PJ,  Wijfels  SE.  Fify-year  trends  in  global  ocean
            IPCC reports. The robustness and validity of the results   salinities and  their relationship  to broad-scale warming.
            in this work, therefore, warrant thorough investigation,   J Clim. 2010;23:4342-4362.
            rather than dismissal. If these results reflect the climatic      doi: 10.1175/2010JCLI3377.1
            reality of future decades, many of the recommendations
            for policymakers provided by the IPCC would require   5.   Durack PJ. Ocean salinity and the global water cycle.
            significant reevaluation. Future work will address some   Oceanography. 2015;28:20-31.
            of the limitations identified in this study, including the   6.   Labat D, Godderis Y, Probst JL, Guyot JL. Evidence for global
            phenomena outlined above, to further refine the Z.3 model   runoff increase related to climate warming. Adv Water Res.
            and its implications.                                 2004;27:631-642.
            Acknowledgments                                    7.   Zeltz É. Origins of “natural climatic nervousness” and its
                                                                  current accentuation. J Mod Green Energy. 2023;2:8.
            None.                                              8.   Zeltz  É.  Analysis  of the interaction  of  oceanic  cloudiness
                                                                  with the upper oceanic stratum. J Inform Anal. 2024;2:4.
            Funding
                                                                  doi: 10.53964/jia.2024004
            None.
                                                               9.   Zeltz É. Analysis and climatological interpretation of the
            Conflict of interest                                  evolution of global mean temperatures since 1880. Physio-
                                                                  Géo. 2021;16(1):49-70.
            The author declares no conflicts of interest.
                                                               10.  Hamilton  JD. Time Series  Analysis. Princeton, USA:
            Author contributions                                  Princeton University Press; 1994. p. XIV+799.
                                                               11.  Lacombe H. Généralités sur les Thermoclines, leur genèse et
            This is a single-authored article.
                                                                  leur prévision. Exposé Introductif. La Houille/N 7/8-1974.
            Ethics approval and consent to participate         12.  Haine TWN, Curry B, Gerdes R,  et al. Arctic freshwater
                                                                  export: Status, mechanisms, and prospects.  Glob Planet
            Not applicable.
                                                                  Change. 2015;125:13-35.
            Consent for publication                            13.  Trenberth, Kevin &  National  Center  for  Atmospheric
                                                                  Research Staff (Eds). Last modified 2024-03-20 “The
            Not applicable.                                       Climate Data Guide: Nino SST Indices (Nino 1+2, 3, 3.4,

            Availability of data                                  4; ONI and TNI).” Available from: HYPERLINK “https://
                                                                  climatedataguide.ucar.edu/climate-data/nino-sst-indices-
            All data and results obtained are free of any rights as long as   nino-12-3-34-4-oni-and-tni%20on%20%5b%20Last%20
            the source is specified. In addition, the author can deliver   accessed%20on%202024-12-02”https://climatedataguide.
            the Z.3 model program by email to anyone who wishes it   ucar.edu/climate-data/nino-sst-indices-nino-12-3-34-4-
            and whose expressed motivation suits the author.      oni-and-tni on [Last accessed on 2024 Dec 02].
                                                               14.  Young IR, Zieger S, Babanin AV. Global trends in wind
            Further disclosure                                    speed and wave height. Science. 2011;332:451-455.

            Éric Zeltz is an independent researcher.              doi: 10.1126/science.1197219
            References                                         15.  Zheng CW, Pan J, Li CY. Global oceanic wind speed trends.
                                                                  Ocean Coast Manage. 2016;129:15-24.
            1.   Li G, Cheng L, Zhu J, Trenberth KE, Mann ME, Abraham JP.   16.  Zieger S, Babanin AV, Young IR. Changes in Ocean Surface
               Increasing ocean stratification over the past half-century.   wind with a Focus on Trends in Regional and Monthly Mean
               Nat Clim Change. 2020;10:1116-1123.
                                                                  Values. Deep Sea Research Part  I Oceanographic Research
            2.   Sallée JB, Pellichero V, Akhoudas C,  et al. Summertime   Papers 86; 2014. p. 56-67.


            Volume 1 Issue 1 (2024)                         12                               doi: 10.36922/eer.4578
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