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Eurasian Journal of
            Medicine and Oncology                                           Novel senescence-based melanoma risk model



            1. Introduction                                    immune  profiles  and  survival  outcomes. 11,15   The  Cancer
                                                               Genome Atlas (TCGA) database provides comprehensive
            Skin  cutaneous  melanoma  (SKCM),  a  highly  lethal  skin   multi-omics data and clinical information across a broad
            cancer originating from melanocytes, is a major global   spectrum of tumor samples, including melanoma, and
            health concern. Ultraviolet radiation and senescence are   serves as a valuable resource for identifying potential
            significant factors contributing to melanoma development,   prognostic biomarkers and understanding the molecular
            which has a higher incidence in males. In recent years,   basis of cancer. 16,17  Several studies have used transcriptomic
            incidence rates have been rising in both male and female   data from TCGA to identify genes notably linked to SKCM
            populations, with a low 5-year survival rate, highlighting   survival outcomes through logistic regression algorithms.
            the  urgency  of improving diagnostic and  therapeutic   Using these prognostic factors, risk models have been
            strategies for this disease. 1-3                   developed to predict patient survival effectively, offering
              An increasing amount of research has highlighted   potential clinical applications. 18,19  However, despite these
            the pivotal role of the immune system in melanoma   advances, an optimal and widely applicable risk model for
            development and  therapy.  Compared  to other  cancers,   melanoma has yet to be established, and further research
            melanoma is characterized by high immunogenicity,   is required to refine predictive models and improve their
            with extensive immune cell infiltration in the tumor   accuracy.
            microenvironment (TME). Immune checkpoint inhibitors   Cellular senescence, a process in which proliferating
            (ICIs)  have significantly  improved  patient  survival and   cells permanently cease dividing, is considered one of the
            are the first-line treatment for melanoma. However, 40 –   hallmarks of cancer. Senescent cells exhibit a senescence-
            60% of patients are resistant to this treatment.  A large   associated secretory phenotype (SASP), which involves
                                                  4,5
            multicenter clinical study on melanoma has shown that   the secretion of pro-inflammatory cytokines, chemokines,
            autologous tumor-infiltrating lymphocyte (TIL)  therapy   and extracellular matrix-degrading proteins. 20,21  The
            can significantly extend survival in patients with recurrence   SASP is a complex mixture of factors that can have both
            after  ICI  treatment.   TILs,  including  natural  killer  (NK)   beneficial and detrimental effects on tumor progression,
                            6
            cells and cluster of differentiation 8-positive (CD8 ) T cells,   depending on the surrounding microenvironment.  On
                                                   +
                                                                                                         22
            are known to exert anti-tumor effects.  Activation of NK   one hand, SASP factors can disrupt tissue repair, promote
                                           7
            cells and CD8  T cells has been shown to directly mediate   chronic inflammation, and create a protumorigenic
                       +
            tumor  cell  killing, which can result in  favorable  clinical   microenvironment that supports cancer growth and
            outcomes. 4,8,9  Conversely, excessive accumulation of   progression. Through a paracrine mechanism, senescent
            immunosuppressive cells, such as regulatory T cells (Tregs)   cells can induce neighboring healthy cells to become
            and myeloid-derived suppressor cells, suppresses immune   senescent,  thereby  amplifying  inflammation  and  further
            function and contributes to tumor metastasis, recurrence,   facilitating tumor progression.  On the other hand, cellular
                                                                                       23
            and resistance to therapy.  The balance between pro- and   senescence can also act as a tumor-suppressive mechanism.
                                4,10
            anti-tumor immune responses is essential in determining   In response to oncogenic stress, senescent cells prevent the
            melanoma progression and therapeutic efficacy.     proliferation of precancerous cells, effectively blocking
              High-throughput RNA sequencing technologies offer   early-stage cancer progression. Furthermore, SASP factors
            valuable insights into immune activity in SKCM and help   can activate immune surveillance by recruiting immune
            reveal  the prognostic potential  of aberrantly expressed   cells  to  the tumor  site,  enhancing  immune-mediated
                                                                                                          24
            immune-related genes. 11,12  For example, high expression   tumor clearance, and preventing further malignancy.  To
            levels of genes such as granzyme B, complement C1q A   characterize cellular senescence, researchers have curated
            chain (C1QA), and complement C1q B chain have been   numerous senescence-related genes that serve as valuable
            associated with significantly longer survival in melanoma   resources for investigating their association with tumor
                                                                                            25-27
            patients.  In addition, upregulated chemokines have   progression and cellular senescence.
                   13
            been linked to favorable long-term outcomes, suggesting   In this study, a panel of senescence-linked genes was
            the presence of an immunoactivated TME that promotes   retrieved from prior literature, 25-27  and TCGA SKCM
            immune surveillance and tumor clearance.  However, no   transcriptome and survival data were obtained from the
                                              14
            clinically  validated  prognostic  biomarkers  are  currently   UCSC Xena database. The samples were divided into a
            available. Recent studies have highlighted the high molecular   training and validation set. In the training set, prognostic
            heterogeneity of melanoma, which can complicate the   senescence-related genes were identified, and cancer
            identification of robust biomarkers and therapeutic targets.   subtypes with significantly different survival outcomes
            By analyzing the molecular features of melanoma, SKCM   were determined based on these genes. Lasso regression
            can be categorized into molecular subtypes with distinct   followed by multivariate Cox regression was performed


            Volume 9 Issue 3 (2025)                         87                              doi: 10.36922/ejmo.8574
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