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Global Health Econ Sustain                                            Impact of new drug indications in Brazil



            provided information on the specific inclusion criteria for   patient populations, informing decision-making processes
            the drugs and estimated patient populations for different   and resource allocation strategies.
            indications.
                                                               2.4. Ethical considerations
            2.2. Calculation of treatment costs                This study involved the analysis of publicly available data
            The annual costs for treating all eligible Brazilian patients   and did not involve any human subjects or personally
            for  trastuzumab  deruxtecan  and  pembrolizumab  were   identifiable information. Therefore, ethical approval was
            calculated based on the current prices regulated by CMED   not required for this study.
            and Anvisa.
                                                               2.5. Statistical analysis
              For trastuzumab deruxtecan, the costs were calculated
            by considering the CMED/Anvisa price at the time of   Descriptive statistics were used to summarize the estimated
            registration and expanded use. The calculations were based   patient populations and associated costs for trastuzumab
            on patients with an average weight of 70 kg.       deruxtecan and pembrolizumab. Graphs and tables were
                                                               created  to  present  the  results  effectively  using  Microsoft
              For  pembrolizumab, the  annual  cost  of  treatment   Excel 2021.
            for all eligible Brazilian patients was calculated for the
            first indication considered for registration in 2016 and   3. Results
            all incremental indications up to November 2022. The   3.1. Trastuzumab deruxtecan
            populations were estimated based on epidemiological
            data from the pembrolizumab clinical trials (KEYNOTE   Trastuzumab deruxtecan’s indications in Brazil underwent
            studies) and the 2023 INCA cancer estimates for the   several expansions. In January 2022, it was initially
            Brazilian population. The costs were calculated using   indicated for patients with HER2-positive unresectable
            the  current  updated  CMED/Anvisa  price  value  and   or metastatic breast cancer who had received two or more
            considering a 200mg dose every 3 weeks.            anti-HER2  treatment  regimens,  representing  the  third
                                                               line of treatment for metastatic disease. By June 2022,
              Monetary values were adjusted using the 2022 exchange   the indication was expanded to include patients who had
            rate (USD to BRL) from the Organization for Economic   received only one anti-HER2-based treatment regimen. In
            Co-operation and Development (OECD). The cost values   November 2022, the indication was further expanded to
            were converted to USD using the exchange rate of 5.164   include patients with low HER2-expressing or low HER
            BRL = 1 USD (OECD, 2023).                          (IHC 1+ or IHC 2+/ISH-) unresectable or metastatic

            2.3. Limitations                                   breast cancer who had received previous systemic therapy.
            It is important to acknowledge certain limitations   The  expansion  of  indications  for  trastuzumab
            and uncertainties inherent in the data sources and   deruxtecan resulted in a significant increase in the
            methodology utilized in this study. The estimates of eligible   estimated number of eligible patients. The eligible patient
            patient populations and cost projections are based on   population increased from 383 for the initial indication
            various data sources, which may introduce variations and   to 23,000 for the expanded indications (Table 1). This
                                                               expansion had a substantial impact on the total costs of
            potential inaccuracies. Unaccounted variations in patient   treatment, with the total cost for trastuzumab deruxtecan
            characteristics, treatment patterns, and disease prevalence   increasing from USD 90.6 million to USD 5.0 billion.
            across  different  regions  of  Brazil  could  influence  the
            accuracy of the estimates.                           Table 1 presents the incremental indications for
                                                               trastuzumab deruxtecan, including the estimate of eligible
              In addition, the analysis did not account for potential
            changes in clinical practice or treatment guidelines that   patients, annual treatment cost per patient, and total cost.
                                                               For the initial indication of HER2-positive breast cancer in
            may arise from the expanded indications of pembrolizumab   the third line of treatment, there were 383 eligible patients
            and trastuzumab deruxtecan. Such changes in clinical   with an annual treatment cost of USD 236,610.35 per
            practice patterns could significantly impact the number of   patient, resulting in a total cost of USD 90,621,763.50. The
            eligible patients and associated costs, potentially affecting   expansion to HER2-positive breast cancer in the second line
            the overall findings of the study.
                                                               of treatment increased the number of eligible patients to
              Furthermore, the study did not assess the comparative   581, while the annual treatment cost per patient remained
            effectiveness or cost-effectiveness of the expanded   the same. Consequently, the total cost for this indication
            indications. Such an assessment could provide valuable   reached  USD  127,420,806.64.  The  largest  expansion  in
            insights into the value of these treatments in different   indications occurred for HER2-low-expressing breast


            Volume 1 Issue 1 (2023)                         4                        https://doi.org/10.36922/ghes.0994
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