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Global Health Econ Sustain                                            Impact of new drug indications in Brazil




            Table 1. Incremental indications for trastuzumab deruxtecan
             Indications                       Estimate eligible patients  Annual treatment cost per patient (USD)  Total cost (USD)
            HER2+in 3  line of treatment              383                    236,610.35            90,621,763.50
                   rd
            HER2+in 2  line of treatment              581                    219,312.92*          127,420,806.64
                   nd
            HER2-low-expressing                      23,000                  219,312.92*          5,044,197,164.99
            (IHC 1+or IHC 2+/ISH-) in 2  line of treatment
                               nd
            Note: *The price of trastuzumab deruxtecan decreased due to the lower new international price.
            cancer in the second line of treatment, with an estimated
            23,000 eligible patients and the same annual treatment cost
            per patient. This expansion led to a substantial increase in
            the total cost, amounting to USD 5,044,197,164.99.
            3.2. Pembrolizumab
            The first registration for the pembrolizumab drug was
            granted in Brazil by Anvisa in 2016, initially restricted
            to patients with advanced melanoma. Over time, the
            label indications for pembrolizumab were expanded,
            encompassing 20 new diseases or stages of cancer. Table 2   Figure  1.  Estimated eligible population for pembrolizumab in Brazil
            provides an overview of the incremental indications for   by year.
            pembrolizumab, including the year of inclusion and the
            respective indications. Each year, new indications were
            added, expanding the therapeutic options for patients
            across a wide range of  cancers, including melanoma,
            NSCLC, urothelial carcinoma, head-and-neck squamous
            cell carcinoma, Hodgkin’s lymphoma, renal cell carcinoma,
            colorectal cancer, endometrial carcinoma, bladder cancer,
            esophageal or gastroesophageal junction cancer, and
            triple-negative breast cancer.
              The  expansion  of  indications  for  pembrolizumab
            resulted in a significant increase in the estimated number   Figure  2.  Estimated total cost for pembrolizumab in Brazil
            of eligible patients. In 2016, the estimated eligible   (in billion USD).
            population for pembrolizumab in Brazil was 1796 patients.   pembrolizumab in Brazil. The indications for trastuzumab
            This  number  gradually increased over  subsequent years,   deruxtecan were extended multiple times, leading to an
            reaching 99,544 patients in 2022 (Figure 1).
                                                               increase in eligible patients from 383 to 23,000 and a rise
              The expansion of indications also had a substantial   in total costs from USD 90.6 million to USD 5.0 billion.
            impact on the total cost of treatment with pembrolizumab.   Similarly, the indications for pembrolizumab expanded to
            In 2016, the total cost was approximately USD 121.1   encompass 20 new diseases or stages of cancer, resulting
            million. As the eligible patient population increased   in an increase in eligible patients from 1796 to 99,544
            and new indications were added, the total cost of   and a rise in total costs from USD 121.1 million to USD
            pembrolizumab escalated to USD 6.7 billion in 2022   6.7 billion.
            (Figure  2). This substantial increase underscores the   According to data from the Ministry of Health’s
            budgetary implications associated with the expanded use   Information System on Public Health Budgets (SIOPS), it is
            of pembrolizumab and the challenges faced by health-  estimated that Public Health Actions and Services (ASPS)
            care systems in managing the costs of innovative cancer   accounted for approximately 4.83% of GDP in 2020. In
            therapies.                                         terms of actual figures, health spending in 2020 amounted
            4. Discussion                                      to BRL 358 billion, marking a significant increase of 44.3%
                                                               of compared to the total expenditure of BRL 241 billion
            This study revealed significant expansions in indications   in 2011 (adjusted for inflation as of December 2020)
            and patient eligibility for trastuzumab deruxtecan and   (Ministério da Saúde, 2023).


            Volume 1 Issue 1 (2023)                         5                        https://doi.org/10.36922/ghes.0994
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