Page 21 - GHES-2-3
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Global Health Economics and
            Sustainability
                                                                                    AI in antibiotic prescribing in Nigeria


            action plan for addressing this issue (Fanelli et al., 2020;   an infection and its susceptibility to antimicrobial agents
            Rabiu  et al.,  2022a;  Yusha’u  et al.,  2010).  Many  studies   directly from clinical samples, ideally within a timeframe of
            concerning antibiotic resistance, especially with a focus   around 30 min (Sulaiman et al., 2022; Tamma et al., 2023).
            on different  MDR genes, in the context of Nigeria have   This advancement would significantly reduce the reliance on
            been published. The major carbapenemases, including   empirical treatment and facilitate adjustment to antimicrobial
            but not limited to OXA-48 enzyme of class  D, class  A   therapy before administering a second dose, ensuring more
            KPC-type carbapenemases, and NDM-type metallo-beta-  timely and suitable treatment. Consequently, there exists a
            lactamases, all play a significant role in antibiotic resistance   noteworthy gap in research, particularly in Nigeria, where AI
            (Brownstein et al., 2023; Tamma et al., 2023). In addition,   can play a pivotal role in optimizing antibiotic prescription
            plasmid-mediated  β-lactamases like blaTEM/SHV and   practices (Vestesson et al., 2023).
            blaCTX-M can inactivate last-resort antibiotics, limiting
            treatment options for clinicians. This further compounds   5. Strategies and application of AI in
            the severity of antibiotic resistance issue in Nigeria (Rabiu   antibiotic prescription
            et al., 2022c; Shitu et al., 2020; Yusha’u et al., 2010).  Appropriately prescribing antimicrobial drugs presents
              In Nigeria, antibiotics rank among the most frequently   multifaceted implementation challenges, requiring the
            prescribed drugs in hospitals (Jaafaru  et al., 2022).   selection of suitable treatment for the suspected pathogen.
            However, the efficacy of antibiotics could be impacted by   This  process involves  the  regulation  of  antimicrobial
            various factors, including inappropriate or unnecessary   agent concentration, determination of the frequency of
            prescriptions.  Furthermore,  improper  usage  of  broad-  administration, and identification of the appropriate route
            spectrum antibiotics, whether at incorrect doses or for   to ensure optimal levels of drug reaching the site of infection
            infections that can be addressed with a specific, non-  (Vestesson et al., 2023; Chang & Chen, 2022). A significant
            antibiotic therapy, may pave the way for the emergence of   challenge in prescribing antimicrobials is marked by the need
            bacteria resistant to multiple drugs. The elevated resistance   to continually adjust a patient’s treatment as new clinical
            levels contribute to higher patient mortality rates, longer   data emerge. However, the limitations of specialized health-
            hospital  stays,  and  greater  health-care expenses  (Fanelli   care resources and the overwhelming volume of information
            et al., 2020), all of which are dire associated consequences   make manual surveillance impractical. As a result, there is
            warranting an immediate counteracting plan and action.   a growing reliance on automated decision support systems
            With the rapid emergence of antibiotic resistance across   to  review  antimicrobial prescriptions in  hospitals.  These
            different classes of bacteria, there arises a crucial need   systems often utilize rule-based algorithms derived from
            to develop novel antibiotics and implement precision   published and expert guidelines to identify inappropriate
            in antibiotic prescription  to effectively combat these   prescriptions and prevent potential adverse events (Table 1)
            escalating cases (Ali et al., 2022; Tamma et al., 2023).  (Fanelli  et al., 2020; Valderrama-Rios  et   al., 2023). This
                                                               shifts toward automated decision support systems reflects a
              In general, antibiotics are isolated from a limited   pragmatic response to the challenges posed by the intricacies
            number of molecular scaffolds, and synthesized and   of antimicrobial prescription, ensuring a more streamlined
            optimized after undergoing a series of cycles. Given the   and effective approach to healthcare delivery.
            rising challenge of antibiotic resistance, there is a pressing
            need to identify novel scaffolds. Emerging techniques for   6. AI for antimicrobial stewardship
            scaffold discovery include exploring untapped microbial   In recent years, considerable attention has been devoted
            pockets for natural compounds and repurposing synthetic   to creating and sustaining antimicrobial stewardship
            molecular catalogues as potential antibiotics (Ali  et al.,   programs customized to meet hospitals’ unique
            2022; Rabiu et al., 2023).                         requirements. A crucial aspect of most of these initiatives
            4. Antibiotic prescription                         involves reviewing antimicrobial prescriptions and
                                                               providing feedback to prescribers. This process evaluates
            Antimicrobials are frequently prescribed based on empirical   several critical parameters of prescribed antimicrobials,
            evidence or data from surveillance cultures, if accessible.   including their indication, dosage, route of administration,
            In either case, the specific pathogen causing the infection   and duration (Vestesson  et al., 2023). While antibiotic
            is typically unidentified. Unfortunately, knowledge of the   stewardship programs have demonstrated effectiveness in
            antimicrobial susceptibility of the causative pathogen typically   numerous high-income countries, their success remains
            becomes available only well after the initiation of antimicrobial   unproven in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs), of
            therapy. Ideally, rapid diagnostic methods should facilitate   which Nigeria is a part. The advent of AI solutions presents
            the swift identification of both the pathogen responsible for   an innovative approach to addressing this challenge in


            Volume 2 Issue 3 (2024)                         3                        https://doi.org/10.36922/ghes.2602
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