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Global Health Economics and
            Sustainability
                                                                  Sustainability of Rwanda’s UHC: 2011–2021 and vision 2050


                 increased to 74.40% (calculated as 57.16×100/76.83)   According to Nyandekwe et al. (2020), despite the third-
                 in 2020/2021 after the GOR’s financial top-up,   party payment mechanism at the hospital level through
                 which was valued at Rwandan Franc (RWF) 22.63   CBHI, the 10% co-payment is unaffordable for the majority
                 billion. Had the complement granted by GOR not   of Rwandans. The Integrated Household Living Conditions
                 been provided, the CRR would have worsened to   Survey 5 reports that 44.1% of Rwandans faced at least one
                 44.94% (calculated as 34.53×100/76.83).       health shock in 2018, relying on savings or borrowing to
              The literature review of key developments since 2000   access health-care services (National Institute of Statistics
            also highlighted significant advancements in health   of Rwanda, 2018)
            impacts, as illustrated in the following paragraphs.  As an ultimate positive impact of the well-coordinated
              Rwanda has made significant progress in improving key   CBHI and public/agree (P/A) health-care system (also
            health indicators since 2000. Under-five stunting decreased   known as the faith-based health-care system) illustrating
            from 47.4% in 2000 to 33.0% in the most recent Rwanda   health status, life expectancy at birth has increased from
            Demographic  and Health Survey in  2019/20.  Similarly,   47.22 years in 2000 to 62.33 years in 2010, 69.06 years in
            infant mortality rates dropped dramatically, from 107   2020, 69.38 years in 2021, 69.69 years in 2022, 70.00 years
            deaths/1,000 live births in 2000 to 33/1,000 in 2019/2020.   in 2023, 70.27 years in 2024, and is anticipated to reach
            Under-five mortality also saw a marked decline, falling   70.54 years in 2025. (Macrotrends, n.d.).
            from 196 deaths/1,000 live births in 2000 to 45/1,000 in   The efficient management of resources, coordinated aid
            2019/2020. Maternal mortality has improved significantly   efforts, mutual accountability, and transparency among
            as well, decreasing from 1,071 deaths/100,000 live births in   stakeholders  have  all  contributed  to  the  performance  of
            2000 to 203/100,000 in 2019/2020. These statistics reflect   Rwanda’s remarkable health-care system.
            the country’s continued efforts and progress in improving   However, both the CBHI and health-care systems
            public health over the past two decades.
                                                               face persistent financial uncertainty. According to the
              Regarding the United Nation’s Sustainable Development   CBHI Annual Reports from 2011/2012 to 2018/2019, as
            Goal (SDG) Target 3.8.2 (UHC index), which measures   well as the revised budgets for 2019/2020 and 2020/2021,
            the proportion of the population spending more than 10%   Rwanda’s CBHI – the foundation of the country’s UHC
            of household consumption or income on out-of-pocket   and universal health insurance programs – has consistently
            payments as a proportion of total income or expenditure,   faced financial deficits. In 2020/2021, the GOR allocated
            the indicator has remained low and fluctuating between   RWF  22.63  billion  to  CBHI,  with  annual  increments,
            24.46% in 2000 and 26% in 2015 for the total population   through the prime minister’s Order No.034/01 of January
            (Muremyi et al., 2020); 10.8% in 2011/2012 within CBHI   13, 2020, to supplement CBHI’s finances. Despite this
            members (Nyandekwe et al., 2014); 4.9% in 2018 and 4.5%   financial support, the deficit has worsened nominally
            in 2020 – 2021 according to the Fourth Health Sector   compared to the previous year, with no significant changes
            Strategic Plan (HSSP IV) 2018 – 2024 and its midterm   in CBHI or health-care utilization (Tables S1-S4).
            review, respectively; compared to 10.1% down from    On  the  supply  side,  i.e.,  P/A  health-care  system,
            11.67% in 2019 according to Index Mundi Country Facts,
            reflecting improved financial protection mechanisms   literature reviews reveal health-sector budget and funding
            in the health sector. Rwanda’s projected OOP health   constraints. The health sector saw a budget reduction in the
            expenditure in 2024/2025 would be approximately 9.7% of   last 2 fiscal years (FYs) after an increase in 2021/2022 due
            current health expenditure, assuming a continued annual   to  COVID-19.  Indeed,  according  to  the  United  Nations
            decline of 1.01%.                                  Children’s Fund (2023), Rwanda’s health sector budget
                                                               allocations showed notable fluctuations over recent years,
              Regarding the same indicator, after an individual   with RWF 245.41 billion allocated in 2019/2020, increasing
            premium contribution averaging RWF 3,000 (equivalent   to RWF 282.3 billion in 2020/2021 and peaking at RWF
            to USD 2.56, based on the exchange rate of USD 1 = RWF   432.2 billion in 2021/2022, before declining to RWF 367.1
            1,170.6 as of July 21, 2023), prepaid annually, a symbolic flat   billion in 2022/2023 and RWF 363.7 billion in 2023/2024.
            fee of RWF 200 (USD 0.17) is co-paid at the health centers   The health sector represented 8.1%, 8.1%, 9.9%, 7.8%, and
            and/or primary health-care level by non-poor patients as a   7.2% of the national budget in these years, respectively. As a
            deductible. At the hospital level, 90% of billable health-care
            services are paid collectively through the CBHI central   percentage of gross domestic product (GDP), the allocations
            risk pooling, with 10% co-paid by non-poor patients. This   were 2.5%, 2.9%, 4.2%, 2.1%, and 2.4%, respectively.
            demonstrates  strong  protection  for  CBHI  beneficiaries   Despite global fluctuations, Rwanda has sustained and
            against financial hardship at the point of use.    improved its health-care system, surpassing countries


            Volume 3 Issue 3 (2025)                        248                       https://doi.org/10.36922/ghes.5842
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