Page 140 - IJPS-11-6
P. 140

International Journal of
            Population Studies                                                           Social inclusion for refugees



            becoming refugees. Most of these refugees have fled to   The analysis was conducted using two models designed
            neighboring countries, creating significant challenges for   to assess the impact of social support systems on refugee
            social integration. It is essential to note that host countries   integration.  These  models  explored  the  relationships
            are  making  efforts  to  provide  necessary  assistance  and   between various indicators of integration, such as access
            support for the successful adaptation of refugees in their   to employment, social services, and participation in
            new environments.                                  integration  programs,  based  on the  data  from  the  cited
                                                               reports. Statistical methods, including K-means cluster
            3. Data and methods                                analysis and dendrogram, were used to assess these

            3.1. Data                                          relationships. Detailed results of the analysis are presented
                                                               in the subsequent sections.
            The selection of indicators to assess refugee integration
            was based on secondary data sources,  highlighting the   Table 3 provides a description of the main indicators of
            need for an in-depth analysis tailored to the context   integration and social support for refugees, while Table 4
            of the present migration crisis. Instead of collecting   presents the statistical sources of information.
            primary data through direct surveys and interviews,   3.2. Methods
            this study relied on secondary data from official reports
            and databases, employing an integrated approach using   The proposed methodology consists of the following steps:
            quantitative methods. The datasets, which included a   i.   Step 1: Identifying the key integration indicators using
            representative sample of  refugees  segmented by  factors   hierarchical clustering (Joining Tree Clustering)
            – such as age, gender, education level, and employment
            status – were gathered from well-established sources such   Hierarchical clustering using the Joining Tree method
            as EUR-Lex, IOM, and the OECD. These sources provided   was employed to identify the most significant indicators
            detailed information on social support measures and   influencing refugee integration. This approach organizes
            integration processes for Ukrainian refugees in various   the indicators into clusters based on their similarities,
            European countries. This integrated approach ensures a   allowing the determination of their relative importance
            comprehensive understanding of the migration situation   in shaping integration outcomes (Toronen, 2004). The
            across multiple countries and demographic groups.  initial set of indicators used to identify the most influential
                                                               factors for refugee integration is presented in Table 3.
            Table 1. Number of Ukrainian refugees in various European   Normalization of indicators was carried out using the
            countries (as of January 2024)                     Z-score method to ensure comparability across different
                                                               scales (Glänzel et al., 2008):
            Country                         Number of refugees
            Poland                              1,640,510          X −    µ                                (I)
            Russia                              1,212,585      Z =  σ
            Germany                             1,125,950
                                                                 where X is the raw score, μ is the mean, and σ is the
            The Czech Republic                  547,670        standard deviation of the dataset.
            Great Britain                       210,800
                                                                 The Ward hierarchical clustering algorithm was
            Spain                               186,045        employed to construct dendrograms, representing
            Bulgaria                            168,570        the grouping of indicators based on their similarities
            Italy                               163,570        (Murtagh and Legendre, 2014). This method minimizes
            Moldova                             116,615        within-cluster variance while maximizing between-cluster
            Romania                             106,786        variance. The formula for calculating distances is as follows:
            Source: Ukrainian Refugee Crisis (2024).           D  = |X -X| 2                               (II)
                                                                ij
                                                                       j
                                                                     i
            Table 2. Main demographic characteristics of Ukrainian   Where D  is the distance between indicators X and X,
                                                                         ij
                                                                                                       i
            refugees                                           while |X-X| is the Euclidean distance (Silbergleit et al., 2015). j
                                                                     i
                                                                       j
            Category                   Percentage of total refugees  ii.  Step 2: Classification of host countries using K-means
            Women and children                 90%                Clustering
            Men (18 – 60 years old)            10%               Based on the significant indicators identified in the
            Returnees                     4 – 5 million people  dendrogram, the K-means clustering algorithm – an
            Source: Ukrainian Refugee Crisis (2024).           unsupervised machine learning method – was employed

            Volume 11 Issue 6 (2025)                       134                        https://doi.org/10.36922/ijps.4502
   135   136   137   138   139   140   141   142   143   144   145