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Bruno Yempabou Lankoande

                             of this cutoff point also helped to keep the sampling errors at an acceptable level for the analysis and
                             to attenuate the effect of heaping for five years prior to the survey (Bicego, 1997).
                                A major drawback also related to the estimation of adult mortality by place of residence using
                             sibling survival data is the difficulty to apprehend siblings’ place of residence. The DHS surveys do
                             not collect information on the place of residence of siblings at the time of survey or at the time of
                             death. To address this issue, the place of residence of interviewed women was tested as proxy for the
                             place of residence of their siblings. Misclassification of siblings’ place of residence may thus lead to
                             misinterpretation of differences in urban/rural mortality levels, particularly when migrations flows
                             are important (Bicego, 1997).

                             3 Results

                             3.1 Growth Balance Method (GBM)
                             Estimates of adult mortality obtained by place of residence and by sex in 2006 from the GBM, and
                             from the census official report are presented in Table 2. The completeness of death reporting was
                             higher in urban areas compared to rural areas (80.5% and 73.5% respectively), suggesting that data
                             quality issues are more prevalent in rural areas. The estimates were also higher than those published
                             in the census report (except for women in rural areas). Disregarding these methodological differenc-
                             es, the value of the probability  45q 15 was higher in rural areas than urban areas according to both
                             sources. In the estimates presented here, the urban-rural differentials in mortality were lower among
                             men with a ratio of urban to rural mortality of 0.7. This ratio rose to 0.9 in women. As expected, the
                             levels of male mortality were higher than those of female mortality.

       Table 2.  Estimates of  45 q 15   (per 1000) from the GBM and results published in the census’ official report by sex and according to urban/rural
       residence in Burkina Faso in 2006
                                               Men                                        Women
                             Urban     Rural        Urban/rural Ratio     Urban    Rural        Urban/rural Ratio
           GBM                270.2    366.1             0.7              215.2    248.6             0.9
           Census report      220.0    321.5             0.7              183.6    280.3             0.7

                             3.2 Orphanhood Method
                             Figure 1 presents trends in adult mortality obtained from orphanhood data collected in the 1993,
                             2003, and 2010 DHS according to place of residence and sex of parents. For men, only one estimate
                             was obtained from each dataset (because the estimation of male mortality requires that reports from
                             two adjacent age groups be combined). For women, two estimates were derived from each dataset
                             (based on 5–9 and 10–14 year-olds).
                                Overall, in urban as well in rural areas, adult mortality rates seem to have fallen since 1988 to
                             2005 for men, and since 1987 to 2007 for women. Quite surprisingly, urban residents seem to have
                             experienced a slight mortality increase in the late 1990s and the early 2000s. This counterintuitive
                             result is likely due to the issue raised by the approximation of parents’ place of residence (those who
                             are at risk of dying) by their children’s place of residence. Over the whole period considered, values
                             of  45q 15 were on average higher in urban areas compared to rural areas. In men, these inequalities in
                             mortality seem to have widened over time in favor of the rural settings. In women, the gap of ur-
                             ban/rural mortality was most pronounced in the first half of the 2000s.
                                By using parents’ place of residence in the estimation, thanks to data collected in the EMUIB sur-
                             vey (Figure 2), the mortality differentials were reversed in favor of urban areas in men, and the gap
                             widened in favor of urban areas in women. In men, when children’s place of residence is used as
                             proxy for their parent’s place of residence, values of  45q 15 were far higher in urban areas than in rural
                             areas. However, a lower mortality in urban areas was obtained when parents’ place of residence at

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