Page 64 - IJPS-8-2

International Journal of
Population Studies Projecting sex ratio at birth in Pakistan

Figure 4. Geographic disparities of SRB estimates, 2000 and 2015
Note: Median estimates are presented. Results for Federally Administered Tribal Areas are omitted.

Table 2. SRB inflation probability by Pakistan province ongoing SRB inflation is the highest in Balochistan at 100%.
As the probability in Balochistan is the only probability
Pakistan province SRB inflation probability above the cutoff value (95%), we identify Balochistan as
Balochistan 100% the only province in Pakistan with SRB imbalance that
Gilgit Baltistan 65.4% happened before 2020.
Azad Jammu and Kashmir 39.4%
Figure 5 illustrates the SRB model results in Balochistan.
Islamabad (ICT) 25.5% The SRB imbalance process in this province started in
Punjab 17.2% 1980 and ended around 2015. The maximum SRB in this
Sindh 13.7% province is estimated to occur in 1996, with SRB median
Khyber Pakhtunkhwa 5.6% estimate at 1.123 and the 95% credible interval at [1.100;
Note: Provinces are listed in descending order of the inflation probability. 1.142]. The SRB in Balochistan is significantly above the
SRB: Sex ratio at birth. national baseline (1.056) from 1986 to 2010. Over this

Volume 8 Issue 2 (2022) 58 https://doi.org/10.36922/ijps.v8i2.332