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International Journal of

                                                                          Population Studies




                                        RESEARCH ARTICLE
                                        Population aging and immigration: Evidence

                                        from Japan



                                        Mikiko Oliver*
                                        Department of Demography, University of Texas at San Antonio, 501 W. César E. Chávez Boulevard,
                                        San Antonio, TX 78207, USA




                                        Abstract
                                        In Japan, the population of immigrants has been increasing sharply, while the
                                        population is aging rapidly. Therefore, Japan is chosen for a case study to examine
                                        the relationship between demographic change and immigration. Immigration is
                                        important to the growth of the labor force due to population aging and the decline
                                        in working age population. Existing studies generally support the hypothesis that
                                        a positive association exists between population aging and immigration, which is
                                        as aging population increases, the number of immigrants increases in industrialized
                                        countries. However, there remain uncertainties as to what age range of the
                                        population is considered to increase in the proportion of older people related to the
                                        positive association, and how population composition by age group is related to the
                                        immigration in Japan. This study examines how the population composition by age
                                        group is related to immigration in Japan by applying econometric methods for the
                                        period 1975 – 2019. The results indicate that a decrease in the ratio of the population
                                        aged 60 – 64 to the total population and an increase in the population aged 65 and
                                        over are associated with increases in the ratio of foreign resident population to the
            *Corresponding author:      total population of Japanese nationals.
            Mikiko Oliver
            (mikikomoliver@gmail.com)
            Citation: Oliver, M. (2023).   Keywords: Population aging; Older people; Labor force; Immigration; Immigrants;
            Population aging and immigration:   International migration; Japan
            Evidence from Japan.
            International Journal of Population
            Studies, 9(1):18-29.
            https://doi.org/10.36922/ijps.407
            Received: November 11, 2022  1. Introduction
            Accepted: April 20, 2023    Japan is often described as an ethnically homogeneous nation. However, Japan is
                                        changing with more older people and more foreigners (BBC Worklife, 2018). The ratio
            Published Online: May 15, 2023  of Japan’s foreign resident population to the total population of Japanese nationals (F2J)
            Copyright: © 2023 Author(s).   more than tripled from 0.67% to 2.37% between 1975 and 2019, according to the data
            This is an Open Access article
            distributed under the terms of the   from the Statistics Bureau of Japan (2023a). At the same time, Japan’s population is aging
            Creative Commons Attribution   rapidly. Japan’s population is aging much faster than any other countries (Higo, 2022).
            License, permitting distribution,   While the issue on population aging and immigration is a concern to both public and
            and reproduction in any medium,
            provided the original work is   private sectors, it remains uncertain as to how population aging affects immigration.
            properly cited.             Existing studies generally support the hypothesis that a positive association exists
            Publisher’s Note: AccScience   between population aging and immigration, which is as aging population increases, the
            Publishing remains neutral with   number of immigrants increases in industrialized countries (Australian Government
            regard to jurisdictional claims in
            published maps and institutional   Productivity Commission, 2006; Bijak et al., 2008; Denton & Spencer, 2015; Keely, 2008;
            affiliations.               Lutz et al., 2019). However, there remain uncertainties as to what age range population


            Volume 9 Issue 1 (2023)                         18                         https://doi.org/10.36922/ijps.407
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