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Global Health Econ Sustain                                             Imports of essential medical products



            the impact of recent trade measures on least developed
            countries. Their results indicated that global cooperation
            and support play an important role in bolstering health
            systems in these countries.
              The WTO  has also published a series of papers,
                       2
            which  provide  valuable  information  on  the  impact  of
            the  pandemic  on international  relations.  These  studies
            explicitly pertain to medical products: they analyzed
            the business of vaccines, both in terms of development
            and global distribution (WTO, 2020a); they assessed the
            related export bans and restrictions (WTO, 2020b); and   Figure 1. The trend of EU-27 trade in medical products.
            they studied how these products were treated based on the
            regional  trade  agreements (WTO,  2020c).  Similarly,  the   Finally, extra-EU import of vehicles and furniture,
            WTO  (2020d) and  Dugiel &  Mikołajek-Gocejna (2020)   medical devices, and medical consumables had increased
            examined the activities of the European institutions in   during  the  pandemic,  while  intra-EU  imports had
            tackling the negative effects triggered by the collapse of   decreased (Figure 4). Medical devices are produced with
            international trade both within the EU and globally.  advanced technology, with very powerful suppliers in
            2.2. Conceptual framework                          the United States, Switzerland, and the United Kingdom
                                                               (OECD,  2020b).  While  medical  consumables  registered
            The international trade in the analyzed medical products   strong positive growth in intra-EU trade in the period 2017
            has some special features that explain its behavior in   – 2019), the COVID-19 pandemic had in turn amplified
            times of intense demand. During the span of 2015 – 2020,   the trade with suppliers from outside the EU.
            according to statistical data from Eurostat, the supply and
            demand of these products displayed an upward trend, with   The analysis of all medical products revealed that the
            an increasingly large positive trade balance, due to the   intra-EU import volume exceeded the extra-EU volume
            growing gap between exports and imports (Figure 1).  over the entire period analyzed (Figure 5). These statistics
                                                               reflect the effectiveness of existing trade agreements
              The present empirical study focuses on the analysis of
            extra- and intra-EU imports, classified by type of product.   among the EU countries, which fosters the development
                                                               of this type of trade.
            The analysis by specific product type did not reveal such a
            uniform trend. First, the analysis focused on the products   Overall, there was a slight increase in 2020 in extra-EU
            that registered negative growth in imports in 2020, namely,   trade in medical goods. This may be due to the uncontrolled
            test kits  and oxygen therapy equipment (Figure  2). This   demand for these products, which had resulted in a slow-
            decline was the most pronounced in extra-EU imports of   down  of trade  with member  states  to meet  domestic
            test kits (−9.88%) and intra-EU imports of oxygen therapy   demand. Although this had prompted a search for other
            equipment (−8.15%).                                suppliers outside the EU, there was still a considerable gap
              Conversely, due to their technological simplicity   between intra- and extra-EU trade throughout the period
            and ease of purchase, the import of protective garments   under analysis.
            and disinfectants  showed an upward trend during the
            pandemic, regardless of the origin of these products   3. Methodology and data
            (Figure  3). According to Park  et  al. (2020), the huge   3.1. Methodology
            increase in demand for surgical masks, eye protection,
            gloves,  and gowns had  exhausted  stocks,  significantly   An individual econometric model was specified for
            driving up prices and causing a backlog in order fulfillment   each  medical  product  to  estimate  the  determinants  of
            for 4 – 6 months. The primary challenge is to ensure that   imports by the EU-27 in the period 2015 – 2020. This
            critical protection products are supplied and assigned to   entails the estimation of seven import functions, one for
            front-line healthcare workers and other stakeholders in   each product, which include variables associated with
            affected countries, especially those most vulnerable to the   the economic and social characteristics of the importing
            spread of coronavirus.                             country, as well as the price index and the origin of these
                                                               products. Special reference is also made to the impact of
            2        https://www.wto.org/english/tratop_e/covid19_e/covid_  COVID-19 to detect the possible effects of the pandemic
                   reports_e.htm                               (Equation I).


            Volume 1 Issue 2 (2023)                         4                        https://doi.org/10.36922/ghes.1207
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