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Global Health Econ Sustain                                             Imports of essential medical products


























            Figure 6. Total import by the EU-27, including extra-EU and intra-EU.

                                                               4. Results
                                Test kits       DEU (29%)
                                                               Equation I was used for estimation for each of the analyzed
                                                               products using the most appropriate statistical method.
                                Protective                     All variables have been log-transformed to eliminate the
                                garments        CHN (17%)      dependence on the units of measurement and to smooth
                                                               any variability, thereby standardizing the statistical data
                                                               and improving the robustness of the estimates.
                               Disinfectants     BEL (14%)
                                                                 The results of the Breusch-Pagan and Hausman
                                                               tests revealed that the estimation of imports of test kits,
             Partners Imports  Oxygen therapy   DEU (19%)      protective garments, vehicles, and furniture is more
              (2015-2020)       equipment
                                                               consistent when pooled OLS is applied (Prob > Chi2 <
                                                               0.05). The Hausman test was significant for three products
                              Medical devices   CHN (24%)      (disinfectants, medical consumables, and oxygen therapy
                                                               equipment), indicating that the RE method was more
                                                               efficient than the FE method in this case. Finally, FE was
                                 Medical                       used for the estimation of medical devices because Prob
                               consumables      DEU (19%)
                                                               >Chi  < 0.05 in the Hausman test.
                                                                   2
                                 Medical                         In all estimations in Table 4, the goodness of fit (Adj
                                vehicles &      DEU (19%)      R ) lies between 0.74 and 0.85; it can thus be confirmed
                                                                2
                                furniture
                                                               that the set of regressors explains a substantial part of the
             Figure 7. Main suppliers of each product.         behavior of the import. GDPpc  and population  showed
                                                               positive and significant coefficients for all products, which
              According  to  official  statistics,  China,  Germany,  and   is expected according to economic theory. The level of
            Belgium led the way in medical supplies. Indeed, China   wealth of a country reflects its purchasing power, and thus
            accounts for the supply of 17% of the protective garments   capacity to purchase essential goods. Furthermore, an aged
            and 24% of medical devices sold to the EU-27 as a whole,   population in a territory has a greater need for essential
            placing itself in the top position of medical supplies   medical products. The year 2020 saw an increased need
            (Figure 7). Germany and Belgium, in addition to holding   for the essential medical products because this age group
            top positions as suppliers to European countries, are also   is the most vulnerable to the symptoms of the virus. In
            among the major importers. The OECD (2020b) and    this regard, Shaker (2020) noted that a greater population
            García et al. (2020) attribute this dual role to the existence   aged over 65 of the importing country was indicative of a
            of intense intra-industrial trade and the high degree of   bigger import of medical products from China during the
            interdependence between these essential items.     pandemic.




            Volume 1 Issue 2 (2023)                         8                        https://doi.org/10.36922/ghes.1207
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