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Global Health Economics and
            Sustainability
                                                                                      Affect heuristics in substance use


            peers revealed a positive relationship in model (2c). Thus,   consume these substances. It also noted a significant correlation
            the consumption of all substances by peers increases the   between the error terms of the models estimated in Table 3,
            probability of cigarette consumption among adolescents   which made the parameters obtained by these models biased.
            even after controlling for socioeconomic and demographic   A multivariate probit model was estimated for the
            characteristics and other risk behaviors. However, the   joint  decision  to  use  substances,  alcohol,  illicit  drugs,
            consumption of alcohol by a parent was statistically   and cigarettes to account for this possible correlation
            significant only at the 10% level.                 between factors that remain unobserved in decisions to
              The results displayed in Table 3 considered independent   use the relevant substances. Table 4 presents the results of
            probit models for the consumption of alcohol, illicit drugs, and   the multivariate probit model. First, the results of the p
                                                                                                            mj
            cigarettes by adolescents. Norton et al. (1998) asserted that a   parameters representing the correlations between the error
            possible endogeneity in peer substance use did not constitute   terms of the dependent variables must be highlighted. It
            a problem in expressing the positive relationship between   was observed that the correlations between the error terms
            substance use by adolescents and consumption by peers.   of substance use decisions were positive and statistically
            However, the present study identified a possible correlation   significant, revealing that these correlations must be taken
            between factors that remain unobserved in the decision to   into account.


            Table 4. Results of multivariate probit models on the joint decision of substance use by adolescents; Brazil 2019
            Variables                  Alcohol                       Drugs                     Cigarettes
                                 (1a)           (2a)           (1b)         (2b)          (1c)          (2c)
            Friend_alcohol    0.5950***      0.5299***       0.2599***    0.1804***     0.3358***     0.2651***
            Friend_drugs      0.4564***      0.3984***       1.0086***    0.9747***     0.6272***     0.5988***
            Friend_smoke      0.2507***      0.2547***       0.4387***    0.4114***     0.5386***     0.4970***
            Parent_alcohol    0.4128***      0.3949***       0.0883**     0.0697        0.0325        0.0640**
            Parent_smoke      0.2399***      0.2536***       0.3128***    0.3244***     0.4053***     0.3837***
            SLI                              −0.8849***                   −0.6143***                  −0.2074**
            RBI                              1.041***                     0.9526***                   0.9068***
            Work                             0.1265*                      −0.1462                     0.0489
            Study                            −0.0745*                     −0.3033***                  −0.1859***
            Study_work                       0.1569***                    −0.1348**                   0.0087
            Another_plan                     0.0394                       −0.1089                     −0.0009
            Male                             −0.1680***                   0.0284                      0.0765***
            Age                              0.1260***                    0.1343***                   0.1281***
            School_mom                       0.0117**                     0.0330***                   0.0086
            n_people                         −0.0470***                   −0.0576***                  −0.0346***
            White                            0.0837***                    0.1020***                   0.0625**
            Priv                             −0.1513***                   −0.1133***                  −0.1683***
            Urb                              0.1417**                     0.2174***                   −0.1388**
            Intercept         0.0239         −2.0442***      −1.6699***   −3.9714***    −1.2060***    −3.3201***
            Respondents       58837                          58837                      58837
            Wald Test         8946.44***     5611029.47***
            p                 0.5538***      0.5260***
             21
            P                 0.6058***      0.5983***
             31
            P                 0.7388***      0.7307***
             32
            LR test           15000000***    14000000***
            Source: Author’s elaboration based on NSHS 2019 data. Note: *, **, and *** indicate statistical significance at the 10%, 5%, and 1% levels, respectively.
            Abbreviation: LR: Likelihood ratio.



            Volume 3 Issue 1 (2025)                        155                       https://doi.org/10.36922/ghes.3829
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