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Global Translational Medicine                                   Prognostic indicators and management of SAP




            Table 4. The Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE) II score items
            Physiological variable              Abnormal upper limit               Abnormal lower limit
                                          +4    +3     +2      +1      0        +1     +2       +3      +4
            Temperature (°C)               ≥ 41  39 – 40.9     38.5 – 38.9 36 – 38.4  34 – 35.9 32 – 33.9  30 – 31.9   ≤ 29.9
            Mean arterial pressure (mmHg)   ≥ 160  130 – 159 110 – 129  70 – 109       50 – 69           ≤ 49
            Pulse                          ≥ 180  140 – 179 110 – 139  70 – 109        50 – 69  40 – 54   ≤ 39
            Respiratory frequency          ≥ 50  35 – 49       25 – 34  12 – 24  10 – 11  6 – 9          ≤ 5
            Fraction of inspired oxygen (FiO ) ≥  0.5    ≥ 500  350 – 499 200 – 349  70 – 200  61 – 70  55 – 60   ≤ 55
                                 2
            FiO  ≤ 0.5
               2
            Arterial pH                    ≥ 7.7  7.7 – 7.69   7.5 – 7.59  7.33 – 7.49  7.25 – 7.32 7.15 – 7.24  ≤ 7.15
            Natremia (mmol/l)              ≥ 180  160 – 179 155 – 159 150 – 154  130 – 149  120 – 129  111 – 119   ≤ 110
            K blood rate (mmol/l)          ≥ 7  6 – 6.9        5.5 – 5.9  3.5 – 5.4  3 – 3.4  2.5 – 2.9   ≤ 2.5
            Creatininemia (mg/dL) (in the event of    ≥ 3.5  2 – 3.4  1.5 – 1.9  0.6 – 1.4   ≤ 0.6
            renal failure, the score is doubled)
            Hematocrit (%)                 ≥ 60        50 – 59.9  46 – 49.9  30 – 45.9  20 – 29.9        ≤ 20
            Leukocytes (total/mm )         ≥ 40        20 – 39.9  15 – 19.9  3 – 14.9  1 – 2.9           ≤ 1
                          3
            15-Glasgow neurological score
            Total acute physiology score
            Notes: The APACHE II score is made up of the sum of total APS, the points for age, and the points for chronic diseases. The allocation of points
            depending on age is as follows: (i)  < 44=0 points; (ii) 45 – 54=2 points; (iii) 55 – 64=3 points; 65 – 74=5 points; and (iv)  ≥ 75=6 points. The allocation
            of points for chronic disease: if the patient has any kind of severe organic insufficiency or immune depression, points should be assigned as follows: (i)
            In the non-operative context or post-operatively after urgent surgery (5 points) and (ii) post-operatively after elective surgery (2 points).

            rate of 17%.  In addition, CT analysis incorporates   more reliable than CT in detecting choledocholiths or
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            prognostic factors not included in the severity index:   pancreatic calculi.  Cholangio-MRI, with its ability to map
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            ascites, pleural effusion, cephalic location of necrosis, and   the biliary-pancreatic tree, should be used in the etiological
            complications of flows (infection, fistula, pseudoaneurysm,   investigation of so-called idiopathic pancreatitis to identify
            and venous thrombosis).  In the same vein, another   anatomical anomalies or early cancers of the biliary-
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            CTSI based exclusively on the presence of signs of extra-  pancreatic junction. MRI is believed to have a greater
            pancreatic diffusion (pleural, retroperitoneal, and ascites),   prognostic value than CT in these cases.
            the Epic score (extra-pancreatic inflammation on CT),
            has been tested. In a pilot study, this new concept enabled   All these elements have recently converged into a
            the identification of patients likely to develop SAP on the   Japanese radio-biological severity classification. This new
             st
            1  day of hospitalization (AUC = 0.91, sensitivity = 100%,   classification integrates eight biological items, the patient’s
            and specificity = 70.8%), pending validation in a larger   age, and scannographic data. The calculation is based on
            series. Organized pancreatic necrosis, or “necoma,” is a   the sum of these elements (Table 6). When the score is  <
            recent and often underestimated entity that represents   3, mortality is only 0.7%. Between 3 – 6, mortality rises to
            a zone of post-necrotic pancreatic tissue, commonly   12.5%, and >6 points, mortality reaches 31% with an AUC
            mistaken for a recent pseudocyst. This formation results   of 0.86. 42
            from the liquefaction of pancreatic necrosis, a process that   2.2. Retrospective elements (complications and
            takes 1 – 3 months to manifest. The “necroma” stands out   death)
            well from the retroperitoneum and can be easily removed
            by surgery. The density of this ovoid lesion is greater than   2.2.1. Local complications
            20 HU, distinguishing it from the recent pseudocysts,   Superinfection of necrosis occurs in 40 – 70% of cases,
            whose density does not exceed 10 HU. 2             where necrotic tissue becomes infected with germs
              Magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) and cholangio-  similar to the flora of the digestive tract (enterococci and
            MRI  are  employed  when  CT  scans  are  contraindicated   enterobacteria), translocating from the colon. The earlier
            (for allergic or other reasons). They are more appropriate   the necrosis infection, the higher the mortality rate (with
            in countries where pancreatitis is predominantly of biliary   a peak in the 3  week). Despite recent studies showing a
                                                                           rd
            origin (North Africa and southern Europe), as they are   decrease in infection rates to 10 – 40% of cases, mortality


            Volume 3 Issue 2 (2024)                         4                               doi: 10.36922/gtm.2480
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