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International Journal of Population Studies


                                      RESEARCH ARTICLE


                                      Using panel data to examine pregnancy

                                      attitudes over time



                                                     1*
                                                                           2
                                      Heini Väisänen  and Rachel K. Jones
                                      1  Department of Social Policy, London School of Economics and Political Science, Houghton
                                        Street, London WC2A 2AE, United Kingdom
                                                                                              th
                                      2  Research Division, The Guttmacher Institute, 125 Maiden Lane 7  floor, New York, N.Y.
                                        10038, USA


                                      Abstract: There is a lack of research examining changes in women’s fertility attitudes over
                                      relatively short periods of time. The aim  of this study was to  determine whether and how
                                      women’s attempts to get pregnant and their desire to avoid pregnancy changed over six months’
                                      time as well as which characteristics and circumstances were associated with these changes.
                                      Using multinomial regression, we analyzed two panels of data from a sample of approximately
                                      3,000 U.S. adult women gathered within six months apart. Only 4% of the women were trying
                                      to get pregnant at  both time points, but six percent  went from  trying to  not  or  vice versa.
                                      Two-thirds reported a strong desire to avoid pregnancy at both points, but 9% transitioned from
                                      strong to not strong and an additional 7% transitioned from not strong to strong. Women who
                                      transitioned to a more serious romantic relationship were at increased risk of transitioning to
                                      trying to become pregnant and, not surprisingly, to a weaker pregnancy avoidance. Some of the
                                      variables we tested, including  changes in  employment status and  race/ethnicity, were asso-
                                      ciated with one outcome but not the other. The results highlight the importance of taking a ho-
                                      listic perspective of women’s lives when studying pregnancy intentions and in reproductive
                                      health care services such as contraceptive counseling. Context matters and it may change ra-
                                      pidly.
                                      Keywords: fertility intentions, pregnancy avoidance, pregnancy planning, panel data

                                      *Correspondence to: Heini Väisänen, Department of Social Policy, London School of Economics and Political
                                      Science, Houghton Street, London WC2A 2AE, United Kingdom; Email: h.e.vaisanen@lse.ac.uk
                                      Received: August 18, 2015; Accepted: October 5, 2015; Published Online: October 12, 2015
                                      Citation: Väisänen H and Jones R K. (2015). Using panel data to examine pregnancy attitudes over time.
                                      International Journal of Population Studies, vol.1(1): 109–121.
                                      http://dx.doi.org/10.18063/IJPS.2015.01.007.
                                      1. Introduction
      Copyright: © 2015 Heini Väisänen and
      Rachel K. Jones.  This  is  an  Open   About half of the pregnancies in the United States are unintended (Finer and Zolna, 2014).
      Access article distributed under the   This figure has remained relatively stable for two decades and has inspired researchers to
      terms of the Creative Commons Attribu-
      tion-NonCommercial  4.0  International   study topics such as the determinants of fertility intentions (McQuilan, Greil, Shreffler et al.,
      License  (http:  //creative-commons.org/   2015; Reed and Mcbroom, 1995; Gatny, Kusunoki, and Barber, 2014), which groups of
      licenses/by-nc/4.0/),  permitting all non-   women are more likely to experience an unintended pregnancy (Finer and Zolna, 2014;
      commercial  use,  distribution,  and  rep-  Finer and Henshaw, 2006), to what extent individuals fulfill their desired family size (Ber-
      roduction  in  any  medium,  provided  the
      original work is properly cited.  rington and Pattaro, 2014; Hartnett, 2014; Morgan and Rackin, 2010; Miller, Rodgers, and

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