Page 98 - IJPS-3-1

Modeling trajectories of long-term care needs at old age: A Japanese-Swedish comparison

Step 2: LTC Level
Parameter Estimate Stand. error P-value Estimate Stand. error P-value
function 1 function 2
Intercept 4.3150 0.4031 <0.0001 1.4669 0.4274 0.0006
Sex konb -0.2987 0.3287 0.3635 -0.1486 0.3349 0.6572
Age group 81 years old81 0.2542 0.4353 0.5593 0.5213 0.4487 0.2454
Age group 84 years old84 -0.2137 0.4375 0.6252 0.1450 0.4481 0.7463
Age group 87 years old87 -0.4632 0.4655 0.3197 -0.3510 0.4741 0.4592
Age group 90 years old90 -0.6686 0.5534 0.2270 -0.4237 0.5435 0.4357
IADL dep., before Funk3_1 -0.2284 0.4145 0.5816 -0.3227 0.4125 0.4340
ADL dep., before Funk3_2 -0,3705 0.4738 0.4342 -0.2902 0.4481 0.5173
IADL dep., after Funk4_1 -0.4600 0.5085 0.3656 1.3363 0.5233 0.0107
ADL dep., after Funk4_2 -2.8081 0.3915 <0.0001 -0.3399 0.4030 0.3990
Home-related LTC insats0_1 -1.4175 0.3867 0.0002 0.5437 0.3612 0.1322
Institution insats0_2 -2.7502 0.6054 <0.0001 -1.6378 0.5393 0.0024

Table A2. Regression coefficients used in the life trajectory model, Sweden

Parameter Estimate Stand. error P-value
intercept -3.0877 0,2826 <0.0001
Sex konb -0.6731 0.2242 0.0027
Age group 81 years old81 0.0187 0.3765 0.9603
Age group 84 years old84 0.3607 0.3693 0.3287
Age group 87 years old87 1.0841 0.3345 0.0012
Age group 90 years old90 1.2559 0.3059 <0.0001
IADL dependency funk0_1 0.8071 0.2737 0.0032
ADL-dependency funk0_2 1.4220 0.4022 0.0004
Home related LTC, <2 hrs/week insats0_1 0.9483 0.3111 0.0023
Home-related LTC, 2–12 hrs/week insats0_2 1.1772 0.3630 0.0012
Home-related LTC, >12 hrs/week insats0_3 1.6884 0.4544 0.0002
Institution insats0_4 2.1376 0.3994 <0.0001

Step 1: Dependency

Parameter Estimate Stand. error P-value Estimate Stand. error P-value
function 1 function 2
Intercept 3.2946 0.3318 <0.0001 1.1147 0.3435 0.0012
Sex konb 0.0356 0.2940 0.9037 -0.0431 0.2840 0.8794
Age group 81 years old81 -0.5756 0.3617 0.1113 0.0561 0.3617 0.8768
Age group 84 years old84 -0.5959 0.4060 0.1422 0.3887 0.3900 0.3189
Age group 87 years old87 -1.3775 0.4106 0.0008 0.1861 0.3744 0.6192
Age group 90 years old90 -2.4160 0.4069 <0.0001 -0.4465 0.3350 0.1826
IADL dependency funk0_1 -2.9489 0.2957 <0.0001 -0.5727 0.2698 0.0388
ADL dependency funk0_2 -13.1114 -1.7121 0.5246 0.0011
Home-related LTC, <2 hrs/week insats0_1 -1.2774 0.5710 0.0253 0.1949 0.3285 0.5531
Home-related LTC, 2–12 hrs/week insats0_2 -11.5588 -0.8054 0.4306 0.0614
Home-related LTC, >12 hrs/week insats0_3 -9.0346 -0.9921 0.5993 0.0979
Institution insats0_4 -9.9774 -11.9022

92 International Journal of Population Studies 2017, Volume 3, Issue 1