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International Journal of Population Studies

                                    RESEARCH ARTICLE

                                    Four decades of transition to first

                                    marriage in China: Economic reform

                                    and persisting marriage norms


                                    Xiaorong Gu
                                    Asia Research Institute, National University of Singapore, Singapore



                                    Abstract:  This study draws on three waves (2012, 2013, and 2015) of pooled data from
                                    the China General Social Survey to examine two major dimensions of the transition to first
                                    marriage among four cohorts of youths, i.e., the transition tempos and the homogamy patterns.
                                    Key findings include: (1) There is no evidence of systematic delays in family formation among
                                    cohorts coming of age after reform, albeit moderate cross-cohort heterogeneity. Two cohorts
                                    are identified for their unique trajectories: The Cultural Revolution cohort with a relatively
                                    protracted  transition process and the  late  reform  cohort  with  a rather  condensed  marriage
                                    formation pattern, (2) respondents who  belong to older cohorts, who are men, who have
                                    received higher education and hold urban hukou have lower risk in entering first marriage by a
                                    certain age, and (3) I recorded steady growing strengths of homogamy over cohorts, with the
           ARTICLE INFO             Ф parameters rising from 0.42 for the Cultural Revolution cohort to 0.56 for the late reform
                                    cohort. The overall message is that four decades of rapid economic development in post-reform
           Received: September 30, 2017
           Accepted: November 19, 2017   China have failed to weaken persisting marriage norms and practices among young people,
           Published: November 26, 2017  contrary to well-documented empirical evidence from many other national contexts. I ruminate
                                    on potential institutional and cultural mechanisms underlying such an intriguing phenomenon.
           *CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
                                    Keywords: China; economic reform; marriage timing; homogamy; transition to
           Xiaorong Gu
           Asia Research Institute, National   adulthood; norm
           University of Singapore,
           Singapore.               1. Introduction
           arigx@nus.edu.sg
                                    The tension has never been higher in Chinese youths’ transition to marriage since the
           CITATION                 economic reform initiated in the late 1970s, due to entanglement of and contradictions
           Gu X (2018). Four decades of   in modernization of individual pursuits, dramatic social changes, shifting state policies
           transition to first marriage in   and remaining Confucian familist traditions. First, rapid urbanization and industrialization
           China: Economic reform and   have restructured the economic profile of the population, where individuals spend longer
           persisting marriage norms.   years on skills training or formal education before entering the labor market. A notable
           International Journal of   trend is women’s increasing educational attainment and formal employment in the context
           Population Studies, 4(1):10-24.
           doi: 10.18063/ijps.v4i1.669  of educational  expansion  (Treiman,  2013; Yeung,  2013), which  exerts  a  considerable
                                    shock to the Confucian patriarchal, patrilineal, and patrilocal family ideal. Second, with
           Copyright: © 2018 Xiaorong Gu.  the state’s retreat from welfare provision for a large segment of the population, the social
           This is an Open Access article
           distributed under the  terms    function  of the family  in childcare,  elderly  care,  and other pragmatic  areas has been
           of  the Creative Commons   strengthened, hence the revival of traditional gender discourses and family values (Jacka,
           Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0   1997.  p. 42). Third,  despite  sporadic  evidence  showing  growth  in  divorce  rate  (Wang
           International License (http://  and Zhou, 2010) and higher personal autonomy in marriage decisions as stipulated by
           creativecommons.org/licenses/  successive marriage laws (Davis, 2014), liberalization of social attitudes toward sexuality
           by-nc/4.0/), permitting all   in “a sex revolution” (Pan, 1994), near universal, and early marriage still holds as the
           noncommercial use, distribution,
           and reproduction in any medium,   norm in the Chinese society (Ji and Yeung, 2014).
           provided the original work is   How do young adults in China navigate their transition to marriage among interweaving
           properly cited.          social, structural, and cultural forces as described above? What are the implications of

           10                                              International Journal of Population Studies | 2018, Volume 4, Issue 1
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