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Maternal mortality and fertility in Myanmar

           and Sports, 2017b). Low institutional delivery percentages show that many births took place at home, those delivered by
           midwifery assistance include. It may be attributed to poor access to health facilities in rural areas due to long distances
           and a lack of appropriate facilities (Ministry of Health and Sports, 2017b).

           3.2. Contraceptive Uptake and Fertility Decline
           The inverse trend of CPR and TFR is presented in Figure 4. The contraceptive prevalence was the most promising indicator
           in Myanmar, showing significant progress both measured as any methods or as modern methods. Very low contraceptive
           use was observed in 1991 at 16.8% with only 13.6% of the women using modern methods (Department of Population
           and UNFPA, 2002). Furthermore, CPR continuously increased and did not vary much among different surveys. The
           trend lines are very steep with significant progress (P<0.01). The latest nationwide survey, MDHS 2015-2016 gave an
           estimate of CPR (any methods) as 52.2%, and CPR (modern methods) was estimated at 51.3%, showing a very low use
           of traditional methods (Ministry of Health and Sports, 2017b).
             With  an increased  use of contraceptives,  Myanmar  has demonstrated  a  decreasing  trend  in  fertility  (correlation
           coefficient between TFR and CPR of any method=−0.71). The 1983 census revealed a TFR of 4.7 (urban 3.4 and rural 5.2),
           while the 2014 census reported a TFR of 2.5 (urban 1.9 and rural 2.8) (Department of Population, 2016b). Similarly, the
           2015-2016 MDHS exhibited a TFR of 2.3 with 1.9 in urban and 2.4 in rural (Ministry of Health and Sports, 2017b).
           Despite this progress, it is important to note the TMFR. For a society like Myanmar, childbearing and contraceptive use
           is generally confined to married couples (Department of Population and UNFPA, 2009). At the time of the census in
           2014, TFR was around 2.5, and TMFR stood at a much higher level of 5.0 (Department of Population, 2016b). The TFR
           and TMFR differed considerably in both urban: 1.9 versus 4.4 and rural areas: 2.8 versus 5.2 (Department of Population,
           2016b).
             In relation to contraceptive use, the problem of unsafe abortions should be put into consideration. As per the findings
           from  the  2005  maternal  mortality  survey,  approximately  10%  of  maternal  deaths  were  from  abortion-related  causes
           (MCH section, 2014). Likewise, septicemia was the leading cause of maternal mortality in 2008, while septic-induced
           abortion as a result of unsafe abortions was a contributing factor (MCH section, 2014). In spite of the increased trends in
           contraceptive use among Myanmar women, a considerable amount of unintended pregnancies end up in unsafe abortions
           and contributing to maternal mortality.

           3.3. Regional Variation in Maternal Mortality and Fertility
           Even  with  the  existence  of  some  controversy  and  discrepancies,  nationwide  surveys  and  reports  provide  sufficient
           information to present the variation in MRH indicators with temporal trends. Moreover, the 2014 Myanmar Census and
           the very first Myanmar Demographic and Health survey 2015-2016 provided stronger evidence to reflect the reproductive
           health situation up to the sub-national level. The MRH indicators with variations among different States and Regions are
           summarized in Table 1.



                                     60                                         8
                                             Trend inTMFR  Trend in CPR (any method)
                                              R 2 =0.716                        7
                                     50                       R 2 =0.945        6
                                    Contraceptive prevalence (%)  40  Trend in TFR  Trend in CPR (modern method)  5 4 Average number of births per woman
                                              R 2 =0.663
                                     30
                                                                  R 2 =0.973
                                     20
                                                                                2 3
                                     10
                                                                                1
                                     0                                          0
                                      1980  1985  1990  1995  2000  2005  2010  2015  2020
                                          CPR (any)  CPR (modern)  TFR    TMFR
           Figure 4. Trends in total fertility rate and total marital fertility rate and contraceptive prevalence of modern and any methods.
           Data Sources: Contraceptive prevalence rate (CPR) (any) and CPR (modern) included estimates presented in Fertility and Reproductive Health Survey reports (2001 and
           2007), Multiple Indicator Cluster Survey (2009-2010) and Myanmar Demographic and Health Survey (2015-2016). TFR and TMFR included estimates presented in FRHS
           reports (2001 and 2007) and Thematic Report on Fertility and Nuptiality of the 2014 Myanmar Census.

           32                                              International Journal of Population Studies | 2019, Volume 5, Issue 1
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