Page 42 - IJPS-8-2
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International Journal of
            Population Studies                                           Used versus Offered densities of human population



            2.1.2. Spatial units as a statistical population     Thus  x = x , as could be expected.
                                                                       O
                                                                           Z
            When zones are used to analyze the statistical distribution   2.2.2. On the statistical moments of human density
            of some spatial variables in a discrete way, they are often
            called “spatial units.” Here, we shall rather refer to zones   Higher order moments of human density in the statistical
            as “spatial entities” and define “land units” as elementary   population of land units are defined in the usual way (e.g.,
            places of unit ground area, say a . Such land units are more   Blitzstein & Hwang, 2015): At order r,
                                     1
            convenientthan zones to constitute the statistical population   E []x   x r  f .           (7)
                                                                               xdx
                                                                      r
            of places since, being identical in area, it is easier to compare   O  O
            them in other respects such as the human population.
                                                                 Under the idealized assumption that human density
              The assignment of land units  o to any zone  z is an   would be homogenous among the land units composing
            idealization: Thinking of the unit ground area  a  as 1   any zone (i.e., no intra-zonal heterogeneity of density),
                                                     1
            square km or 1 hectare, we expect most zones to involve a   then  E  x   E x[], wherein the inter-zone average E
                                                                               r
                                                                        r
                                                                     O
            non-integer number of land units. We nevertheless denote        Z  r                            Z
            as “ o∈z” the composition of zone z out of land units o.   of density moment x  is defined as
            To every land unit  o, with population denoted by  p , is   E []x   A z  ( P z  ) r           (8)
                                                                      r
                                                       o
            associated a human density as follows:                 Z      A   A
                                                                         z Z  Z  z
               x = p / a 1                              (3)                                           r
                o
                    o
                                                                                                   O

              Notionally, the zone area adds up those of the land units   The formula enables one to calculate  E  x   in an
            in it, and similarly, the zone population adds up those of   exact way under intra-zonal homogeneity of density, or in
                                                               an approximate way otherwise.
            its land units:
               A    a                                 (4a)    2.2.3. Indicators of offered human density
                z  1                                          heterogeneity
                   oz

                z
               P   p o                                (4b)    Local human density is likely to be heterogeneous among
                                                               land units, even inside every zone z. The intra-zone variance

                   oz
                                                               of human density is a metric for that heterogeneity within z.
            2.2. Human density in the statistical population of   It  is  defined as  V  x  E  x 2 |oz    E (    | xo z  ,
                                                                              () z
                                                                                                            2
                                                                                                           )
            land units                                                        O     O          O
                                                               and satisfies that
            Human density  x constitutes a random variable in the


            statistical population of land units, with PDF and CDF   V  x    a 1  x o   x 2         (9)
                                                                                 2
                                                                   ()z
                                                                   O
            denoted by f  and F , respectively.                               A z     z
                                                                           oz
                           O
                      O
            2.2.1. Average human density over space              Over  the  territory,  the  overall  variance  of  human
                                                               density can be measured using the law of total variance,
            The average human density over space stems from the   that is, its decomposition into within-group variance and
            probability density function  f  in the usual way (e.g.,   between-group variance (e.g., Blitzstein & Hwang, 2015):
                                     O
            Blitzstein & Hwang, 2015):


                                                                                 O
                                                                                  z ()
                O
                                                                                                    O
                        xdx
                     .
               x   x f                               (5)       V  x   A z  V  x      A z  ( x  x ) 2    (10)
                                                                   O
                                                                                                 z
                      O
                                                                          z    Z  A Z     z    Z A Z
              This general version of average human density over   The  associated standard  deviation (SD)  and  relative
            space is equivalent to the discretized one: Denoting as  O    dispersion (coefficient of variation, CV) are therefore
            the total number of land units, it holds that:
                                                                  SD  x   V  x                      (11a)
                                                                             O
                                                                    O
                      x
               x    o O  o                                        x  SD  x / x                   (11b)
                O
                     O
                                                                   O
                                                                           O
                                                                                  O
              As  Oa.  1  =  A , replacing x  with p /a  and  aO  with A    In empirical distributions, the variance and, in turn, the
                                                 1
                        Z
                                         o
                                           1
                                                          Z
                                   o
            due to (4a) aggregated over zone set Z, it comes out that  SD and CV are sensitive to outliers, that is, values falling
                                                               out of the ordinary range of the variable. As the quantile
                   P                                                     1
               x =  A Z Z                               (6)    values  F O  ()  at probability level α neither too small nor
                O
            Volume 8 Issue 2 (2022)                         36                     https://doi.org/10.36922/ijps.v8i2.297
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