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Artificial Intelligence in Health                                          Machine learning in arthroplasty



            2.2. Outcome prediction                            studies have examined patients’ clinical and demographic

            2.2.1. Patient-reported outcome measures (PROMs)   variables and their ability to predict complications with
                                                               ML, all with varying results. 32-34  One of the earlier models
            Multiple studies have examined the use of models to   reported an AUROC of 0.73 for both mortality and cardiac
            predict  PROMs,  a  topic  of  increasing  importance  in   complications and was then externally validated using a
            recent years, as orthopedics pivot to more patient-  different database.  However, other models, such as Shah
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            centered metrics of success. Many of these studies, while   et al.’s  model, aimed to predict a more broadly defined
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            providing  evidence  in  favor  of  the  future  applications   criteria for major complications and reported an AUROC
            of these models, lack external validation. 25-27  Therefore,   of 0.732.
            Huber et al.’s  externally validated study represents the
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            most comprehensive investigation of the subject. By using   ML has been used for various specific complications
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            demographic information and outcome scores, their model   ranging from dislocation to loosening. Rouzrokh et al.
            analyzed 65,000 total hip THA, producing an area under   developed a DL model to assess the risk of hip dislocation
            the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC)   following THA from radiographic images. The final model
            value (a single metric that compares true positive rate   had a sensitivity of 89% and an AUROC of 76.7. In the
            and false positive rate) of 0.87 for the THA Visual   context of opioid usage, which poses a significant concern
            Analog Scale (VAS). Similarly, Klemt et al.  demonstrated   in post-operative care, a predictive model was developed
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            significant outcomes in predicting various post-operative   to assess prolonged post-operative opioid use in patients
            PROMS following THA. Their ML models exhibited     undergoing THA. This model demonstrated an AUROC
            strong discrimination (AUROC > 0.83 for all PROMs),   of 0.77, indicating a robust ability to predict opioid
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            and calibration analysis showed a high concordance   usage outcomes.  Most recently, an application detecting
            between predicted and actual PROM scores, suggesting   prosthetic loosening with high degrees of accuracy
            the models’ reliability. Schwartz et al.  investigated ML’s   was able to identify loosening with 97% accuracy, an
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                                                                                                           37,38
            ability to predict scores on post-operative pain surveys   improvement from an older model with 88.3% accuracy.
            achieving an AUROC of 0.79, outperforming the linear   Table 1 summarizes the findings of key studies included
            regression model. This finding suggests that ML models   in this review, highlighting the role of AI in predicting
            may have an advantage over traditional linear regression   complications in patients undergoing THA.
            methods in analyzing complex relationships between   2.3. Future direction
            patient variables and PROMs. Table 1 presents a summary
            of studies that assessed the use of AI to predict PROMs in   AI, and more specifically ML, is emerging as a
            patients undergoing THA.                           transformative tool in THA, demonstrating its early
                                                               potential in radiographic analysis, including precise implant
            2.2.2. Readmissions, length of stay (LOS), and cost  identification and accurate measurement acquisition.
            ML has also shown rapid emerging value in predicting   In addition, ML’s capability to analyze vast amounts of
            crucial metrics such as readmissions, LOS, and cost in   patient data and characteristics to discover correlations
            THA. Studies by Ramkumar et al.  have emphasized this   and predict patient outcomes shows promise compared to
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            potential, with models exhibiting AUROC scores of 0.82   traditional methods such as linear regressions.
            for LOS, 0.83 for inpatient charges, and 0.79 for discharge   As we stand on the cusp of AI’s application and clinical
            disposition. These results suggest a promising avenue for   relevance in THA, it is becoming increasingly evident that
            implementing cost-based reimbursement models and   this field is primed for exploration and expansion by both
            improving  management  of  patient  expectations.  Further   the academic and commercial orthopedic communities.
            research by the same team, created and validated a model   However, two significant challenges arise with its application
            capable of predicting readmissions and LOS, achieving   in medicine: limited explainability and data privacy. The
            AUROCs of 0.87 and 0.71, respectively.  The external   ability to transparently understand the processes used
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            validation of these studies legitimizes the generalizability   by AI to reach conclusions is crucial for its acceptance
            and indicates the significance of the models in predicting   in evidence-based medicine, especially when patient
            outcomes for future use. Table 1 provides an overview of   outcomes  are  at stake.  Advancing  our  comprehension,
            relevant studies on the use of AI in predicting readmission,   documentation, and education of how these tools function
            LOS, and cost to patients related to THA.          is vital for their future applications. Transparency, in data
                                                               storage, security, and quality is also a growing concern for
            2.2.3. Complications                               medical professionals, hospital executives, and patients.
            Despite  the  continued  success  of  THA, unforeseen   One of the biggest hurdles in using large data sets is the
            complications have been a target point for ML. Multiple   ability to store patient health information securely. With


            Volume 2 Issue 2 (2025)                         15                               doi: 10.36922/aih.3278
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