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Deresse, et al.

                temperature, fertile soil, access to high-quality native   study  area  to  support  informed  decision-making  by
                planting  materials,  and  favorable  rainfall.  However,   farmers and policymakers. The specific study objectives
                                                      3,4
                as climate  change progresses, previously unsuitable   are  to  (i)  analyze  the  biophysical  and  socioeconomic
                areas for coffee farming may become viable, prompting   factors determining optimal land suitability for coffee
                an upslope migration to cooler regions.  This shift will   production; (ii) classify land areas based on their level
                                                   5
                require adjustments and the development of new coffee-  of suitability for coffee production; and (iii) develop a
                growing areas, with altitudes above 2000 m becoming   spatial optimal land suitability map for coffee farming
                more favorable, while lower altitudes may decline. 6  in the study area.
                  Ethiopia’s highland areas face intense population
                pressure, driving demand for agricultural  land and   2. Methods
                causing land disputes and resource degradation.  This
                                                          7,8
                situation underscores the importance of land suitability   2.1. Study area
                evaluations  for  effective  land  management  and   2.1.1. Location
                planning.  Several factors, such as climate, land cover,   The Abaya District is one of 10 districts in the West
                        9
                soil characteristics, elevation, and slope, may influence   Guji Zone of Oromia, Ethiopia. The Abaya District is
                crop production, including coffee.  Identifying suitable   located 365 km south of Addis Ababa, between latitudes
                                              10
                areas based on these factors is essential for profitable   6°10’N  – 6°20’N and longitudes 38°00’E – 38°10’E
                and sustainable agriculture, as improper practices   (Figure 1). It is bordered by the Southern Nations to the
                and  inadequate research  can  hinder  productivity.    north and east, Lake Abaya to the west, and the Gelana
                                                               11
                Likewise, inadequate crop handling technology, weak   District to the south. 23
                collaboration  among producers, and reduced  planting   The Gelana District is located in the West Guji Zone,
                areas contribute to low coffee profitability.  In addition,   about 470 km south of Addis Ababa, between latitudes
                                                     12
                poor crop management and planting in unsuitable places   5°40’E – 6°20’E and longitudes 37°50’N – 38°10’N
                can lead to reduced productivity. 13                (Figure 1). It borders the Amaro District to the south,
                  The  Guji  coffee  area,  encompassing  Abaya  and   Bule Hora and Burji Districts to the southeast, the Gedio
                Gelana  Districts,  is  a  significant  coffee-producing   Zone to the north and northwest, the Abaya District to
                area  in  Ethiopia.  It  is  known for its  predominantly   the northwest, Lake Abaya to the west, and the Nech Sar
                               14
                agricultural  landscape  and  favorable  elevations  (1075   National Park and Gamo Gofa Zone to the southwest. 24
                – 2511 m), ideal for high-quality coffee production.
                                                               15
                However,  coffee  production  is  challenged  by  climate   2.1.2. Climate and socioeconomic characteristics
                change,  weather variability, soil degradation,  water   The  Abaya District  has two agro-climatic  zones –
                scarcity,  and technological limitations, such as limited   mid-highlands (40%) and lowlands (60%) – located
                       16
                modern farming techniques, poor infrastructure,  and   1104 – 2305  m above sea level. The average  annual
                market fluctuations.                                temperature ranges from 25.1°C to 30.6°C, and annual
                  Several studies have examined the physical suitability   rainfall varies between 470 and 1828.7 mm. The Gelana
                of  land  for  Arabica  coffee  production  in  Lembah   District consists of midlands (30%) and lowlands (70%),
                Gumanti, Indonesia,  Rwanda,  and Kenya.  In several   with elevations of 1075 – 2511 m. The average annual
                                                      19
                                           18
                                  17
                regions of Ethiopia, land suitability analyses for various   temperature ranges from 17°C to 23°C and rainfall from
                cereal  crops have been  conducted 13,20,21  studied  land   1396 to 1710 mm.
                suitability  for  Arabica  coffee  but  overlooked  factors   The Abaya District  has a population  of 103,348,
                                                                                                                    25
                such as climate change, socioeconomic  conditions,   with 3.42% residing in urban areas. In terms of land
                and  spatiotemporal  differences.  In  general,  previous   use, 41% is arable – 28.7% used for annual crops, 35%
                research often omitted key factors like microclimate and   for pasture, and 15% for woodland. Key crops include
                proximity, and the studies varied widely in objectives,   haricot  beans,  maize,  and  coffee,  cultivated  on  over
                study locations, and depth of analysis. 22          5000 ha. Farming depends on livestock  for transport
                  To date, no studies have been conducted in the Abaya   and traditional irrigation. 24
                and Gelana Districts, specifically using a Geographical   The  Gelana  District  has  a  population  of  71,369,
                                                                                                                    25
                information  system  (GIS)  and  multi-criteria  analysis   with a population  density of 73.60 people/km²  over
                techniques  to  evaluate  optimal  land  suitability  for   135,543 km .  The farming system combines crops and
                                                                               2 6
                coffee production. Therefore, this study aims to analyze   livestock, focusing on cash crops, such as coffee, maize,
                optimal  land  suitability  for  coffee  production  in  the   sorghum, and wheat, and pulses, such as chickpeas,



                Volume 22 Issue 4 (2025)                       152                           doi: 10.36922/AJWEP025190143
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