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Effects of urbanization on air and health

                remains limited compared to studies in China or India.   have  developed  various  approaches  to  address these
                Early  Vietnamese studies were primarily  descriptive,   analytical challenges.
                documenting  pollution  levels  and basic  health      Panel data methods have proven valuable  for
                correlations.                                       controlling  time-invariant  unobservable factors. Zhou
                  Phung  et  al.   examined  air  pollution  and  hospital   et  al.   employed  fixed-effect  models  with  city-level
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                admissions in Ho Chi Minh City from 2010 to 2013,   panel data in China to estimate  urbanization  impacts
                finding  significant  correlations  between  daily  PM10   on PM2.5 levels while controlling for economic factors
                levels and respiratory hospital admissions. Hien et al.    and  policy  interventions.  Difference-in-differences
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                analyzed  air quality  in Hanoi from 2016 to 2018,   approaches  have  been  used  to  evaluate  specific
                identifying  traffic  emissions  and  coal  combustion   policy impacts; for example, Greenstone and Hanna
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                as  primary  sources  of particulate  pollution.  Nhung   applied  this method  to assess air  pollution  regulation
                et  al.  found that  annual  PM2.5 concentrations  in all   effectiveness in India.
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                studied provinces exceeded the limits set by the WHO   IV techniques have emerged as particularly
                Air Quality  Guidelines  and  the Vietnamese  Emission   valuable  for  establishing  causality,  though  finding
                Standards  (QCVN).  These  studies  confirmed  that   suitable instruments remains challenging. Appropriate
                Vietnam’s urban  pollution  levels  have  frequently   instruments  must  influence  the  endogenous  variable
                exceeded national standards and generated conspicuous   (e.g.,  air  pollution)  while  affecting  the  outcome
                short-term health impacts.                          (e.g., health)  only  through the  endogenous  variable.
                  Several  studies  have  linked  Vietnam’s rapid   Deryugina et al.  used wind direction as an instrument
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                development  to environmental  degradation.  By using   for air pollution to estimate causal effects on mortality in
                satellite imagery, Nguyen et al.  documented the rapid   the United States, while Liu et al.  employed rainfall as
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                expansion of built-up urban areas in major Vietnamese   an instrument for air pollution in studying recreational
                cities, which were accompanied by rising air pollutant   behavior impacts in Paris.
                concentrations. Tran and Nguyen  found that economic   Our study  addresses the  methodological  gap  in
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                growth and industrialization were driving both      Vietnam-specific  research  by  applying  panel  data
                urbanization  and  environmental  decline,  including   econometric techniques with city fixed effects and IVs to
                higher emissions and water pollution, across Vietnam’s   establish more robust causal links between urbanization,
                cities.                                             pollution, and health outcomes. By analyzing multiple
                  More recent research has begun employing more     cities over a decade, we can control for unobservable
                sophisticated analytical methods. Vu et al.  investigated   city-specific factors and common temporal shocks while
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                ambient air pollution impacts on hospital admissions for   leveraging industrial composition as an instrument for
                respiratory diseases among children in Hanoi, finding   pollution levels.
                that days with higher PM2.5 and NO2 levels corresponded
                to increased  pediatric  hospitalizations  for respiratory   3. Data and methodology
                issues, even after controlling for weather and seasonal
                factors.  While informative,  such time-series analyses   3.1. Data sources and description
                still  face  challenges  in  establishing  causality  due  to   In this study, we constructed a comprehensive  panel
                potential confounding factors.                      dataset  encompassing  ten  major  Vietnamese  cities
                  However,  most  Vietnam-specific  studies  to  date   observed annually from 2013 to 2022.  The selected
                have been correlational  or descriptive,  with few   cities – Hanoi, Ho Chi Minh City, Haiphong, Da Nang,
                employing advanced causal inference methods.        Can Tho, Bien Hoa, Hue, Nha Trang, Buon Ma Thuot,
                This  represents  a  significant  gap  given  the  policy   and Vinh – represent Vietnam’s key urban centers across
                importance  of understanding causal relationships   northern, central, and southern regions. This selection
                between urbanization,  pollution, and health  outcomes   provides  geographic  diversity  despite  constraints  in
                in Vietnam’s rapidly changing urban landscape.      obtaining  selected  data,  particularly  for consistent  air
                                                                    quality monitoring and health outcome reporting.
                2.4. Methodological approaches                         These cities collectively house over 30% of Vietnam’s
                Identifying causal relationships between urbanization,   urban population  and  represent  diverse  economic
                air pollution, and health outcomes presents substantial   profiles, from major metropolitan centers to secondary
                methodological challenges due to potential endogeneity,   industrial  cities.  This  diversity  proves crucial  for
                reverse causality, and omitted variable bias. Researchers   identifying causal relationships, as it provides variation



                Volume 22 Issue 3 (2025)                       201                           doi: 10.36922/AJWEP025130088
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