Page 105 - IJPS-11-3
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International Journal of
            Population Studies                                                               Male fertility in Uganda



            to 8.4 in 2016. A  one-tailed  t-test was used to examine   than those who had their first childbirth before the age of
            whether the decline in TFRm between 2006 and 2016 was   17  years, keeping other factors constant. The regression
            important. For this test, an assumed mean of 9.33 was   results showed that delaying the onset of childbirth
            derived from the estimated TFRm for each survey (10.3,   among men was associated with a decline in male fertility.
            9.3, and 8.4). The t-test results showed a non-significant   A  5-pp  decline in  the proportion of men who reported
            decline in TFRm estimates from 2006 to 2016 (α = 0.000,   a high duration of cohabitation and marriage (10  years
            p > 0.05).                                         and above) between 2006 and 2016 contributed 11% to
                                                               the changes in CEB, keeping other factors constant. This
            3.2. Distribution of characteristics among         finding indicates that the duration of cohabitation and
            respondents in the years 2006 and 2016             marriage among men is positively associated with male
            The univariate analysis results were used to establish   fertility transition. A  decline in the proportion of men
            changes in the distribution of respondent characteristics.   engaged in agricultural occupations contributed 4% to the
            As shown in Table 2, the proportion of men who attained   changes observed in CEB between 2006 and 2016, keeping
            secondary and higher education increased by 11 percentage   other factors constant. This result implies that a decline in
            points (pp) between the 2006 and 2016 survey periods. In   the proportion of men engaged in agricultural occupations
            addition,  there was  a 19-pp  increase  among those who   is positively associated with CEB transition among men.
            joined services and manual labor, a 16-pp increase among   In addition, a 2-pp decline in the proportion of men
            those who reported contraceptive use, and an increase   with two or more current wives (in polygamous unions)
            among those who were dwelling in urban areas and   contributed 2% to the change in CEB between 2006 and 2016,
            watching television by 8 and 23 pp, respectively. To establish   keeping other factors constant. An increase in the proportion
            characteristics associated with male fertility, the study   of  men  who  attained  secondary  and  higher education  in
            employed the Kruskal–Willis H test to compare differences   2016  compared  to  2006  contributed  1%  to  the  change  of
            in CEB across independent variable categories. The male   CEB  among  men.  Proportional  changes  in  the  following
            fertility transition was observed between 2006 through   characteristics contributed marginally to the change in CEB
            the years preceding the 2016 survey, although it was not   among men: changes in the total number of lifetime partners,
            significant. At the bivariate level, the Kruskal–Willis H test   type of residence, and religion. In particular, proportionally
            indicated that the following independent variables were   increases among Muslim men had a higher likelihood of
            associated with discernible differences in CEB within and   increasing CEB than any other religion.
            between their categories: Age of a man, place of residence,
            wealth status, education, number of current wives, reported   4. Discussion
            contraceptive use, access to mass media (television,   This study had two main objectives: First, to estimate male
            newspaper, and radio), women with whom children are   fertility rates over a span of 15 years, from 2006 to 2016,
            fathered, lifetime sexual partners, religion, timing of first   and second, to examine the factors associated with changes
            childbirth, partner age difference, occupation, and duration   in CEB to better understand male fertility dynamics in
            of cohabitation and marriage (p < 0.000).
                                                               Uganda. This study demonstrates that male fertility in
            3.3. Relationship between CEB and determinants of   Uganda was in a slow-moving transition pace during the
            male fertility                                     study period, primarily due to changes in the proportional
                                                               composition of characteristics among men. In fact, male
            Table 3 presents the multivariate Poisson decomposition   fertility was higher than eight children per man, given the
            results, which illustrate the differences in CEB among men   prevailing ASFRm from 2006 to 2016. These results are
            between the 2006 and 2016 survey periods. The observed   consistent with earlier studies, which indicate that male
            characteristics explain 113% of the change in CEB among   fertility rates were higher than female rates in many African
            men during this period. The decline in male fertility from   countries (Schoumaker, 2017). Strongly entrenched
            2006 to 2016 was primarily attributed to changes observed   pronatalistic socio-cultural norms, values, and behaviors,
            in the following variables: Age at first childbirth, duration of   manifesting as demand for large family size and patriarchy,
            cohabitation and marriage, occupation, number of current   could plausibly explain why male fertility exceeded eight
            wives, and education attainment. Most importantly, a 3-pp   children per man (Nalwadda et al., 2010). Although the
            increase in the proportion of men who reported being   association between male and female fertility in Uganda
            childless between 2006 and 2016 contributed 93% to the   is scantly published, it is important to note that Uganda’s
            changes in CEB, keeping other factors constant.    female TFR is among the highest in the East African region
              Furthermore, men who had their first childbirth at age   and was twice over the global average of 2.3 by the year
            25 years and above were more likely to have a reduced CEB   2022 (Population Reference Bureau, 2022).


            Volume 11 Issue 3 (2025)                        99                         https://doi.org/10.36922/ijps.461
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