Page 122 - IJPS-11-5
P. 122

International Journal of
            Population Studies                                        Endowment insurance and family consumption in China



              Endowment insurance also plays a critical role in risk   pension  frameworks  and  bolstering  public  confidence
            mitigation and consumption smoothing. By guaranteeing   in pension systems as a means of stimulating greater
            a future income stream, it allows households to allocate   consumer spending. The broader, transformative effects
            resources  more  efficiently,  thus  reducing  consumption   of endowment insurance—including behavioral shifts in
            volatility during economic downturns or personal financial   savings and consumption, long-term improvements in
            distress (Deaton, 1991). This ensures that households   household welfare, and its role in risk mitigation—offer
            can maintain a stable standard of living even in the face   valuable lessons for other countries as well.
            of unforeseen circumstances such as illness, job loss, or
            other disruptions. As such, endowment insurance serves   5. Conclusion
            as a vital financial tool for households seeking stability   This study revealed a robust positive correlation between
            in the face of uncertainty, fostering greater resilience in   participation in endowment insurance and household
            household financial behavior.                      consumption levels. Specifically, households with
              While  this  study  provides  valuable  insights  into  the   insurance experience a 12.5% increase in consumption,
            effects of endowment insurance on household consumption   with a 1% rise in pension income correlating with a 0.4%
            in China, several limitations must be acknowledged. First,   increase in consumption. Further analysis underscores that
            the use of fixed effects models enables the control of   these effects are consistent across various demographic
            unobserved individual-level heterogeneity through within-  factors, including household registration type, regional
            unit variation; however, this approach excludes time-  development, and age. In particular, rural households,
            invariant factors. Although these factors are undoubtedly   residents of central regions, and individuals over 60 benefit
            significant, they remain unaccounted for in the model,   most from pension income. Robustness tests confirm that
            potentially limiting the depth and comprehensiveness of   participation in endowment insurance not only enhances
                                                               overall spending but also drives increased expenditures in
            our findings. Furthermore, the presence of missing data   key categories such as clothing, transportation, education,
            and  follow-up  attrition  may  introduce  biases  that  affect   and entertainment, signaling a shift toward higher
            the results. To mitigate these concerns, sample selection   consumption standards. However, while pension receipts
            methods and winsorization of continuous variables were   tend to increase spending on clothing and healthcare, they
            employed to address outliers, and multiple imputation   are associated with reduced expenditures on housing and
            techniques were applied to handle missing values. These   other categories, suggesting a complex shift in consumption
            strategies are designed to minimize bias and ensure the   patterns.
            integrity of the dataset. It is also important to note that
            this study did not examine the potential effects of the   In addition, the study highlights that institutional
            COVID-19  pandemic  on  consumption  patterns  and   insurance is linked to a 1.7% increase in consumption,
            pension participation. The release of updated data will   while commercial insurance, though associated with a 1.3%
            provide an opportunity to explore these dynamics, offering   decrease, lacks statistical significance. Finally, breakpoint
            deeper insights into how household financial behavior   regression analysis shows a reduction in consumption at
            has evolved in response to the crisis. Future research   the pension age, likely due to the recalculation of pensions
            could benefit from comparative studies across different   based on previous earnings, which leads individuals to
            countries and longitudinal investigations, which would   adjust their consumption downward.
            enrich our understanding of the global implications of   Acknowledgments
            pension systems on consumption behavior. Such studies
            could facilitate the identification of cross-national patterns   None.
            and trends, thus contributing to the broader literature on
            pension systems and their impact on household economic   Funding
            decision-making.                                   This paper was funded by the National Natural Science
              This study carries important implications for    Foundation of China (grant number 72272171).
            policymakers, particularly in the context of China’s aging   Conflict of interest
            population and the rapid economic transformations it
            is undergoing. The findings suggest that enhancing the   The authors declare they have no competing interests.
            predictability  and reliability of  pension  systems  could
            significantly increase household consumption, a critical   Author contributions
            factor for sustaining economic growth. Policymakers   Conceptualization: Lili Zheng
            may therefore consider strengthening institutional   Formal analysis: Lili Zheng, Ya Su


            Volume 11 Issue 5 (2025)                       116                        https://doi.org/10.36922/ijps.4857
   117   118   119   120   121   122   123   124   125   126   127