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Journal of Clinical and

                                                                  Translational Research



                                        ORIGINAL ARTICLE
                                        Secular trends in cytomegalovirus risk and

                                        outcomes by race: A 10-year longitudinal study
                                        in adult kidney transplant recipients



                                        Karim Soliman 1,2,3  , Ahmed Daoud , Amy Perry * , Morgan Overstreet 3  ,
                                                                       2,3
                                                                                  1
                                        Erika Andrade , Isabel K. Calimlim 3  , Courtney E. Harris 4  , and David J. Taber 3,5
                                                    3
                                        1 Department of Medicine Service, Ralph H. Johnson VA Healthcare System, Charleston, South
                                        Carolina, United States of America
                                        2 Department of Medicine, Division of Nephrology, Medical University of South Carolina, Charleston,
                                        South Carolina, United States of America
                                        3 Department of Surgery, Division of Transplant Surgery, Medical University of South Carolina, South
                                        Carolina, United States of America
                                        4 Department of Medicine, Division of Infectious Diseases, Medical University of South Carolina,
                                        South Carolina, United States of America
                                        5 Department of Pharmacy Service, Ralph H. Johnson VA Healthcare System, Charleston, South
                                        Carolina, United States of America


                                        Abstract
                                        Background and aim:  Cytomegalovirus (CMV) remains a critical post-transplant
                                        opportunistic infection despite significant advancements in monitoring and therapy.
            *Corresponding author:      The impact of African-American (AA) race on CMV risk and outcomes has been
            Amy Perry
            (amy.perry2@va.gov)         insufficiently studied. This study aimed to determine secular trends in the incidence
                                        of CMV D+/R− mismatching and evaluate their association with AA race and clinical
            Citation: Soliman K, Daoud A,   outcomes.  Methods:  This single-center longitudinal cohort study involved adult
            Perry A, et al. Secular trends in
            cytomegalovirus risk and outcomes   kidney recipients transplanted between January 2012 and June 2021, with follow-up
            by race: A 10-year longitudinal study   through June 2022. Univariate and multivariate statistics were performed to analyze
            in adult kidney transplant recipients.   the data. Results: Of 2392 kidney transplant recipients, 2,261 were included in the final
            J Clin Transl Res. 2025;11(2):41-51.
            doi: 10.36922/jctr.24.00067  analysis after applying exclusion criteria. The mean age was 52 years, 41% were female,
                                        and 57% were black. In addition, 19% were classified as CMV high-risk. Secular trend
            Received: October 14, 2024
                                        analysis revealed an increase in CMV D+/R− rates over time. AAs had 51% lower odds of
            1st revised: December 3, 2024  being CMV D+/R− (p<0.001), which remained stable over the study period (p=0.80). In
            2nd revised: December 9, 2024  adjusted models, AAs had a 50% higher risk of developing CMV infection (Hazard ratio
                                        [HR] = 1.49, confidence interval [CI]: 1.1 – 2.0) and late CMV infection (HR = 1.5, CI: 1.03
            Accepted: February 20, 2025
                                        – 2.3), with no significant change over time (p>0.20). AA race was also a risk factor for
            Published online: March 20, 2025  acute rejection and death-censored graft loss, with no notable changes observed over
            Copyright: © 2025 Author(s).   the study period. Conclusion: In kidney transplant recipients, the incidence of CMV D+/
            This is an open-access article   R− serostatus has increased over the past decade. AAs are 50% less likely to be CMV D+/
            distributed under the terms of the   R− but have higher normalized rates of other complications, which remained relatively
            Creative Commons AttributionNon-
            Commercial 4.0 International (CC   stable over the study period. Future studies should explore the underlying mechanisms
            BY-NC 4.0), which permits all   contributing to the higher rates of CMV infection in AAs, which could facilitate the
            non-commercial use, distribution,   development of targeted interventions. Factors such as immunosenescence and
            and reproduction in any medium,
            provided the original work is   genetic polymorphisms  warrant  further  exploration.  Relevance for patients:  CMV
            properly cited.             risk, outcomes, racial disparities in kidney transplant.
            Publisher’s Note: AccScience
            Publishing remains neutral with   Keywords: Cytomegalovirus; Kidney transplant; Racial disparities; Outcomes;
            regard to jurisdictional claims in
            published maps and institutional   Immunosuppression; Infections
            affiliations
            Volume 11 Issue 2 (2025)                        41                            doi: 10.36922/jctr.24.00067
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