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Explora: Environment

                                                                                   and Resource



                                        ORIGINAL RESEARCH ARTICLE
                                        Pilot climate suitability investigation of alternate

                                        wetting and drying irrigation practice for
                                        improving water management in paddy rice

                                        fields in Uganda



                                        Edson Bagamba , Denis Bwire 1,2,3 * , Victo Nabunya , and Daniel Otim 1
                                                      1
                                                                                     1
                                        1 Department of Agricultural Mechanization and Irrigation Engineering, Busitema University, Tororo,
                                        Uganda
                                        2 United Graduate School of Agricultural Sciences, Tokyo University of Agriculture and Technology,
                                        3-8-1, Harumicho, Fuchu, Tokyo, Japan
                                        3 RD and Business Development, Saerd-tech Consultants Limited, Kampala, Uganda



                                        Abstract

                                        Although susceptible to the negative consequence of climate change, rice production
                                        using continuous flooding in paddy fields contributes significantly to food security
            *Corresponding author:
            Denis Bwire                 in Uganda. Alternate wetting and drying practice (AWD) is a sustainable irrigation
            (bwiredenis@gmail.com)      technique with water-saving potential without reducing yields. Adopting this
            Citation: Bagamba E, Bwire D,   technique requires technical knowledge and understanding of AWD’s influence and
            Nabunya V, Otim D. Pilot climate   its interaction with hydrological conditions – components of water balance including
            suitability investigation of alternate   percolation and precipitation in paddy fields.  This study investigated the climate
            wetting and drying irrigation
            practice for improving water   suitability of AWD for improving water management with paddy rice farming in
            management in paddy rice fields in   Uganda. The climate suitability analysis was conducted for Eastern Uganda considering
            Uganda. Explora Environ Resour.   the rainy (March – May) and dry seasons (June – July, November – February). First, we
            2025;2(2):025040005.
            doi: 10.36922/EER025040005  conducted a field survey from Kibimba and Doho, major rice growing schemes, and
                                        obtained FAO-WaPOR climatic data for climate suitability analysis. Ecological niche
            Received: January 22, 2025
                                        modeling in QGIS and Maximum Entropy (MaxEnt), a machine learning model, was
            1st revised: February 5, 2025  used to evaluate AWD viability in paddy fields. Then, a hydrological assessment of
            2nd revised: March 5, 2025  paddy fields was performed using a water balance equation considering the ecological
                                        requirements of the paddy rice, climatic conditions, and soil properties. Results from
            3rd revised: March 12, 2025
                                        the MaxEnt and Jackknife tests gave >92% and 90% high-performing metrics of area
            4th revised: March 14, 2025  under the curves and percentage correctly classified, respectively.  The significant
            Accepted: March 17, 2025    environmental predictors identified include organic carbon stock (OCS) and available
                                        water, with OCS as the most influential factor. The percolation rate of 1 – 5 mm/day was
            Published online: March 28, 2025
                                        unsuitable for AWD during the rainy season (when precipitation >20 mm/day since
            Copyright: © 2025 Author(s).   the increase in precipitation decreases percolation rates). Otherwise, AWD was suitable
            This is an Open-Access article   in dry and rainy seasons if the precipitation was <20 mm/day for all percolation rates,
            distributed under the terms of the
            Creative Commons Attribution   and over 70% of significant areas in Eastern Uganda favor AWD practice. These findings
            License, permitting distribution,   provide valuable quantitative insights based on climate suitability evaluation of AWD
            and reproduction in any medium,   irrigation in Uganda to (i) upscale AWD technique for improving water management in
            provided the original work is
            properly cited.             paddy fields and (ii) support Uganda’s rice production goal.
            Publisher’s Note: AccScience
            Publishing remains neutral with   Keywords: Paddy rice; Machine learning in agriculture; Ecological niche modeling;
            regard to jurisdictional claims in
            published maps and institutional   Sustainable irrigation; Food security; Climate adaptation
            affiliations.

            Volume 2 Issue 2 (2025)                         1                           doi: 10.36922/EER025040005
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