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Explora: Environment
            and Resource                                                             Climate suitability of AWD practice



            1. Introduction                                    farming. Adopting water-management techniques for rice
                                                               cultivation to minimize water use without affecting yields
            Among the grains produced, rice contributes 29% of   is essential.  AWD practice is a water management option
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            total grain produced globally, and rice cultivation can   to offset the negative climate change repercussions.
            be traced to over 10 millennia compared to other crops.
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            The rice production area is projected to cover 150 million   Nevertheless, scholarly investigations into applying
            ha globally, yielding an average of 500 million metric   this technique for water management in paddy  fields
            tons  annually.   Rice  cultivation  in  Africa  is  gaining   in Uganda remain scarce. Studies  on mapping paddy
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            popularity, with annual rice production of 14 metric tons   rice  fields  provide  an  understanding  of the influence of
            and consumption estimated at 16 metric tons, leaving a 2   hydrological conditions and AWD practice for improving
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            million metric tons deficit.  Rice is an essential food for   water use.  Likewise, previous studies in Uganda have
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            more than 800 million people in Africa, grown in over 75%   relied on ground surveys and government reports.  The
            of African countries, including Tanzania, Senegal, Uganda,   application of satellite-based data and machine learning
            Gambia, and Madagascar, and is a staple food in most West   opens the way for AI-driven tools to be used for AWD
            African countries.  Rice production in Uganda was initiated   irrigation suitability evaluation.
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            in 1942 to support World War II militias. However, there   Therefore, understanding the paddy rice ecosystem and
            was a gradual growth in rice farming until 1974, when   hydrological characteristics of the potential irrigable paddy
            the Doho Rice Irrigation Scheme was established with the   fields is important for optimizing irrigation water use, an
            technical assistance of Chinese specialists to respond to the   aspect of Uganda’s national irrigation master plan.  While
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            farmers’ needs. 4                                  earlier studies recognized AWD practice as climate-smart,
              The production in Uganda is expanding and primarily   this  study fills the  gaps  in  climate  suitability  evaluation
            grown on a small scale, with few large rice schemes. The   of  this practice  under  Uganda’s climatic  conditions
            annual rice production is estimated at 165,000 metric tons,   and aims to assess (i) the influence of soil hydrological
            while  350,000  metric  tons  is  consumed.   Uganda’s  rice   characteristics in the paddy rice fields and (ii) the climate
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            deficit is attributed to low yields and insufficient expansion   suitability analysis of AWD irrigation practice in paddy
            of the rice-cultivable areas. With the country’s population   soils, a win–win strategy for improving water management,
            growth  rate  of  3.2%,  rice  demand  will  increase.  The   reducing greenhouse emissions, and increasing rice
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            eastern region is Uganda’s rice production hub, resulting   productivity in Uganda under climate change.  This was
            from the optimal soil moisture in lowland areas favoring   achieved through ecological niche modeling (ENM) in
            paddy rice during rice cultivation seasons.  The Ugandan   QGIS and the MaxEnt machine learning tool to evaluate
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            government advocates increasing rice production to cater   the  soil  study  area  suitability  for  paddy  rice  cultivation.
            to the growing demand from rapid population growth.   We performed a hydrological assessment of paddy fields
            Unfortunately, some rice-growing schemes cannot sustain   using a water balance equation to evaluate AWD’s climate
            two rice production seasons due to water scarcity resulting   suitability  as  a  climate-smart  technique.  The  study  has
            from prolonged droughts, which leads to the drying of   pointed out the hydrological constraints and opportunities
            water sources. These negatively affect irrigated yields,   for AWD practice, which are largely unexplored as part of
            hampering food security. 6                         the climate-water strategy for the paddy rice ecosystem in
                                                               Uganda. The findings of this study go beyond theoretical to
              Paddy rice is cultivated using the continuous flooding   practical discussion by providing insights for government
            (CF) method, in which the paddy field is submerged in   policymakers and researchers in understanding the
            prolonged ponded water conditions, creating an oxygen-  influence of soil hydrological conditions and the evaluation
            deprived environment within the soil and root zone –   of paddy fields. In addition, this provides an understanding
            anerobic. This condition enhances water for rice growth   of the influence of climatic conditions – rainy and dry
            while limiting weed growth.  Paddy rice cultivation in   seasons – on AWD practice, offering an opportunity to
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            Uganda faces several challenges, including farmers’ limited   integrate the technique into irrigation schemes for water
            knowledge and  skills  in  water  management, insufficient   management, supporting irrigation master plan.
            irrigation infrastructure, and vulnerability to drought
            conditions.  Water demand for industrial  and home   2. Materials and methods
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            use is increasing, affecting water share for agricultural
            production and creating tensions between  various user   2.1. Study area characteristics
            groups, with farmers frequently at the center of these   The Eastern region (Figure 1) is among the four regions
            conflicts.  Furthermore, surface and underground water   of Uganda, including Western, Northern, and Central. It is
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            sources are shrinking, jeopardizing the future of paddy rice   situated between the latitudes 0.2804°S and 2.2110°N with

            Volume 2 Issue 2 (2025)                         2                           doi: 10.36922/EER025040005
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