Page 73 - GHES-1-1

Global Health Econ Sustain Implication of close contact

Our findings have important implications for policy epidemic? Lancet, 395(10228): 931-934.
and practices in combating epidemics. We highlight the https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(20)30567-5
effectiveness of contact tracing and testing in reducing the
number of infected individuals and controlling outbreaks. Bagal, D.K., Rath, A., Barua, A., & Patnaik, D. (2020). Estimating
the parameters of susceptible-infected-recovered model of
However, it is important to note that successfully COVID-19 cases in India during lockdown periods. Chaos,
eliminating an outbreak requires sustaining and substantial Solitons and Fractals, 140: 110154.
efforts over a prolonged period (reducing the QSS behavior
to a negligible level). Other measures, such as quarantine https://doi.org/10.1016/j.chaos.2020.110154
and social distancing, come with a high economic cost. Choi, S., & Ki, M. (2020). Analyzing the effects of social distancing
Therefore, public health policymakers should prioritize the on the COVID-19 pandemic in Korea using mathematical
development and implementation of mixed strategies that modeling. Epidemiology and Health, 42: e2020064.
integrate contact tracing, testing, quarantine protocols, https://doi.org/10.4178/epih.e2020064
and social distancing measures. Such a multi-pronged El Fatini, M., El Khalifi, M., Gerlach, R., & Pettersson, R. (2021).
approach could mitigate the impact of epidemics at a Bayesian forecast of the basic reproduction number during
minimum cost. the Covid-19 epidemic in Morocco and Italy. Mathematical
Acknowledgments Population Studies, 28(4): 228-242.
https://doi.org/10.1080/08898480.2021.1941661
None.
Esakandari, H., Nabi-Afjadi, M., Fakkari-Afjadi, J.,
Funding Farahmandian, N., Miresmaeili, S.M., & Bahreini, E. (2020).
A comprehensive review of COVID-19 characteristics.
This work was partially supported by the grants PIP 112- Biological Procedures Online, 22(1): 19.
2015 01- 00644CO and SeCYT-UNC 05/B457.
https://doi.org/10.1186/s12575-020-00128-2
Conflict of interest Ferguson, N.M., Laydon, D., Nedjati-Gilani, G., Imai, N.,
Ainsile, K., Baguelin, B., et al. (2020). Impact of Non-
The authors declare that they have no competing interests. pharmaceutical Interventions (NPIs) to Reduce COVID19
Author contributions Mortality and Healthcare Demand. London: Imperial
College London.
Conceptualization: Gustavo Javier Sibona He, X., Lau, E.H.Y., Wu, P., Deng, X., Wang, J., Hao, X., et al. (2020).
Investigation: Shirlene Patricia Vega-Royero, Gustavo Temporal dynamics in viral shedding and transmissibility of
Javier Sibona COVID-19. Nature Medicine, 26(5): 672-675.
Writing – original draft: Shirlene Patricia Vega-Royero, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41591-020-0869-5
Gustavo Javier Sibona
Writing – review and drafting: Gustavo Javier Sibona Investopedia. (2022). A Historical Timeline of COVID-19 in
New York City. Available from: https://www.investopedia.
Ethics approval and consent to participate com/historical-timeline-of-covid-19-in-new-york-
city-5071986 [Last accessed on 2022 Feb 02].
Not applicable.
Kim, S., Seo, Y.B., & Jung, E. (2020). Prediction of
Consent for publication COVID-19 transmission dynamics using a mathematical
model considering behavior changes in Korea. Epidemiology
Not applicable. and Health, 42: e2020026.

Availability of data https://doi.org/10.4178/epih.e2020026
Korea Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. (2022).
All data used in this work are presented in the text.
Coronavirus disease-19, Republic of Korea. Available from:
References https://ncov.mohw.go.kr/en [Last accessed on 2022 Feb 02].
Korean Statistical Information Service. (2022). Population Data.
Adam, D. (2020). Special report: The simulations driving the Available from: https://kosis.kr/visual/nsportalstats/index.
world’s response to COVID-19. Nature, 580(7803): 316-318.
do?menuid=all [Last accessed on 2022 Feb 02].
https://doi.org/10.1038/d41586-020-01003-6
Kwon, O., Son, W.S., Kim, J.Y., & Kim, J.H. (2020). Intervention
Anderson, R.M., Heesterbeek, H., Klinkenberg, D., & effects in the transmission of COVID-19 depending on the
Hollingsworth, T.D. (2020). How will country-based detection rate and extent of isolation. Epidemiology and
mitigation measures influence the course of the COVID-19 Health, 42: e2020045.

Volume 1 Issue 1 (2023) 10 https://doi.org/10.36922/ghes.0873