Page 70 - GHES-1-1
P. 70

Global Health Econ Sustain                                                    Implication of close contact




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            Figure 2. Comparison between simulations and Equation 9 of the QSS daily quarantined individuals, C  as a function of; (A) the final close contacts testing
                                                                             S,
            efficiency and (B) the symptomatic contact rate µ, for different values of k.
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            Figure 3. Comparison of the spread of COVID-19 in South Korea with our model. The circles stand for the data, and the straight line for the model fitting.
            (A) Comparison of the daily confirmed new cases. (B) Comparison of the total cases observed by the public health system. The dotted line represents the
            epidemic evolution without any public health policy.

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            Figure 4. Comparison of the spread of COVID-19 in New York City with our model. The circles stand for the data, and the straight line for the model
            fitting. (A) Comparison of the daily confirmed new cases. (B) Comparison of the total cases observed by the public health system. The dotted line
            represents the epidemic evolution without any public health policy.


            Table 2. Parameters values involved in θ(t), and initial conditions
             Country        µ1       ξʹ     γʹ      τʹ    E0      A0      I0      ω        ξ       γ       τ
            South Korea     2.8      20     0.1    57     50      40     10      0.025    30      0.5      10
                                                                                  0.3     30      0.4      46
            New York City   0.5      1       1     12     20      12      3      0.048    30      0.06     24




            Volume 1 Issue 1 (2023)                         7                        https://doi.org/10.36922/ghes.0873
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