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Global Health Econ Sustain                                     Prevalence and risk factors of childhood diarrhea



            altitudes (χ :  232.960;  p: 0.000) and regional divisions   Comparatively, the areas with low child diarrhea prevalence
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            (χ :  938.676;  p: 0.000). Most of the childhood diarrheal   were marked as cold spots. Regions in red indicate higher
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            cases were identified within the altitudinal range between   risks of childhood diarrhea, encompassing major districts
            100 and 499 m (6.7%) and found in the eastern (10.1%)   in West Bengal, Bihar, Jharkhand, Orissa, Rajasthan,
            and western (10.0%) parts of rural India.          Maharashtra, Gujrat, Andhra  Pradesh, and Karnataka.

              The spatial autocorrelation analysis indicates that   Conversely, blue-colored areas constitute districts with low
            the district-wise distribution pattern of child diarrhea   child diarrhea prevalence, coverings states such as Punjab,
            prevalence in India is neither random nor dispersed, as   Arunachal Pradesh, Manipur, Nagaland, Mizoram,
            evidenced by a Global Moran’s I value of 0.19 (p < 0.001).   Tripura, Kerala, and Tamil Nadu.
            This analysis suggests a clustered pattern of child diarrhea   The results of logistic regression (Table 3) indicate
            prevalence  in  Indian  districts  based  on  the  NFHS-5   that in rural India, children nourished by mothers
            database. Moreover, the extracted z-score value (28.43) also   aged 15 – 24 years were 44% more likely (adjusted odds
            indicates that there is <1% likelihood that this clustered   ratio [AOR]: 1.44;  p  < 0.05; 95% confidence interval
            pattern could be the result of random chance.      [CI]: 1.34 – 1.55) to suffer from diarrheal diseases compared
                                                               to children with mothers aged 35 – 49 years, taken as the
            3.3. Spatial distribution of diarrhea diseases in India  reference category. Similarly, children in rural areas whose
            Figure 2 depicts the spatial distribution of diarrhea disease   mothers had no formal education (AOR: 1.16; p < 0.05;
            occurrences within the last 2  weeks before or at the   95% CI: 1.06 – 1.30) or had only completed primary
            time  of  sample  collection  for  both  NFHS-4  (2015  –  16)   education (AOR: 1.11; p < 0.05; 95% CI: 1.05 – 1.17) were
            and NFHS-5  (2019 – 21). According to the NFHS-4   16% and 11% more likely to develop diarrheal disease,
            (2015  –  16) database, 32 districts reported high child   respectively, compared to children with mothers who had
            diarrhea prevalence, including regions such as Kishtar and   completed secondary education or higher. In addition, the
            Ramban in Jammu and Kashmir; Sahibzada in Punjab; and   odds of childhood diarrheal disease were 2.35 times higher
            Uttarkashi, Chamoli, Dehradun, Pithoragarh, Bageshwar,   (AOR: 2.35; p < 0.05; 95% CI: 2.22 – 2.49) among rural
            and Hardwar in Uttarakhand. Similarly, high prevalence   Indian children aged 0 – 1 year compared to those aged
            was observed in Northwest Delhi; Bareilly, Pilbhit, Aligarh,   4 – 5 years. The odds of diarrheal disease increased by 7%
            Bahraich, Sitapur, Kushinagar, Kannaouj, Gorakhpur,   among the children who belonged to the fifth or higher
            Saharanpur, Meerut, and Rampur in Uttar Pradesh;   birth order (AOR: 1.07; p < 0.05; 95% CI: 0.99 – 1.09). The
            Gopalganj in Bihar; South Garo hills in Meghalaya; Palamu   likelihood of childhood diarrheal disease was 16% and
            in Jharkhand; Kendujhar and Baleswar in Orissa; and   23% lower among children who had average (AOR: 0.84;
            Umaria in Madhya Pradesh. Conversely, low prevalence was   p < 0.05; 95% CI: 0.77 – 0.91) and smaller than average
            reported in most districts of Sikkim, Arunachal Pradesh,   (AOR: 0.77; p < 0.05; 95% CI: 0.72 – 0.83) physical growth
            Nagaland, Mizoram, Meghalaya, Assam, West Bengal,   as compared to the children who possessed larger size than
            Chhattisgarh, Gujrat, Kerala, and Telangana. In contrast,   average physical growth. Children from rural households
            according to NFHS-5 (2019 – 21), 11 out of 707 districts   with more than six family members had 8% lower odds
            of India reported high child diarrhea prevalence exceeding   (AOR: 0.92; p < 0.05; 95% CI: 0.87 – 0.96) of developing
            17.5%, covering the states of Bihar (Paschim Champaran,   diarrheal disease compared to those from households with
            Sitamarhi, Supaul, and Madhubani), Maharashtra (Nasik,   fewer than five family members. Moreover, in rural India,
            Jalna, and Parbhani), Orissa (Mayurbhanj and Baleshwar),   children from households without electricity (AOR: 1.15;
            and Chhattisgarh (Bastar). Similarly, 87 districts illustrate   p < 0.05; 95% CI: 1.05 – 1.25), belonged to SC (AOR: 1.12;
            that childhood diarrhea prevalence varies between 10.8%   p < 0.05; 95% CI: 1.02 – 1.23) and scheduled tribe (ST)
            and 17.5%. In addition, 168 districts reported childhood   (AOR: 1.09; p < 0.05; 95% CI: 0.98 – 1.20) categories, were
            diarrhea prevalence ranging from 6.8% to 10.8%, and 304   more likely to suffer from diarrheal disease.
            districts reported diarrhea prevalence among children   Estimation also revealed that the probability of childhood
            ranging from 3.4 – 6.8%. The rest of the 138 districts   diarrheal disease was 59% higher among the poorest
            exhibited a low child diarrhea prevalence (<3.4%), covering   (AOR: 1.59; p < 0.05; 95% CI: 1.45 – 1.74); 47% among
            most of the districts of Jammu and Kashmir, Himachal   the poorer (AOR: 1.47; p < 0.05; 95% CI: 1.34 – 1.61); 36%
            Pradesh, Punjab, Haryana, Uttar Pradesh, Arunachal   among the middle (AOR: 1.36; p < 0.05; 95% CI: 1.23 – 1.49);
            Pradesh,  Nagaland,  Manipur,  Mizoram,  Assam,  Kerala,   and 26% among the richer (AOR:  1.26;  p  <  0.05; 95%
            and Tamil Nadu.                                    CI: 1.14 – 1.39) wealth backgrounds. In addition, there
              The hot spot analysis illustrates contiguous areas with   was a higher likelihood of childhood diarrhea among
            high child diarrhea prevalence, indicated as hot spot areas.   households with unimproved toilet facilities (AOR: 1.22;


            Volume 2 Issue 2 (2024)                         7                        https://doi.org/10.36922/ghes.2048
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