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International Journal of Population Studies

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Managing natural disaster risk with

earthquake damage scenarios and

shakeout exercises: Lessons from

M = 8 Mandi multi-stakeholders
w
scenario in India

Pawan Kumar Taneja *, Shallini Taneja 2
1
1 Department of Operations Research, Indian Institute of Public Administration,
New Delhi, India
2 Department of Economics and Business Policy, FORE School of Management, Qutub
Institutional Area, New Delhi, India

ARTICLE INFO Abstract: Scientifically simulated Earthquake Damage Scenario (EDS) and Shakeout
Received: November 18, 2019 exercises help the policymakers to set up emergency plans for the immediate consequences and
Accepted: January 10, 2020 medium-long-term mitigation and prevention for a seismic event. The purpose of this study
Published: January 16, 2020 is to draw important lessons and a deeper understanding of issues and challenges in planning
and implementing such exercises in a highly populous developing country like India. The
*CORRESPONDING AUTHOR Government of India developed a first-ever multi-state and multi-stakeholders EDS naming
Dr. Pawan Kumar Taneja, M = 8 Mandi and conducted a Mega Multicity Shakeout Exercise in the Western Himalayan
w
Indian Institute of Public Region during 2014. A cross-sectional research design consisting of a mainly qualitative
Administration, New Delhi, research approach using a multi-stakeholders perspective approach was used to factor key
India. lessons. The scenario development and shakeout exercise faced several challenges such as
dr.p.k.taneja@gmail.com
lack of awareness among concerned stakeholders, lack of technical know-how at the grass-
CITATION root level, lack of poor coordination among various stakeholders, and unavailability of data on
important issues. Due to the lack of understanding of the sensitivity of the issue, the success of
Taneja PK, Taneja S. implementation largely depends on the involvement of the top leadership of state governments.
(2020). Managing natural
disaster risk with earthquake Scientific EDS exercises followed by mega shakeout exercises helped not only the community
damage scenarios and up to some extent but also mainly helped administration, government agencies in generating
shakeout exercises: Lessons awareness of the earthquake and possible risk attached to it.
from M = 8 Mandi multi-
w
stakeholders scenario in Keywords: Disaster risk management; Earthquake damage scenarios; Shakeout
India. International Journal of exercises; Mock drills; Earthquake management India; Multi-stakeholders
Population Studies, 6(1):30-40.
doi: 10.18063/ijps.v6i1.1078 simulation exercises
Copyright: © 2020 This article belongs to the Special Issue: Environment and Population Dynamics in South Asia
Taneja and Taneja. This
is an Open-Access article 1. Introduction
distributed under the terms
of the Creative Commons Disasters are large intractable problems that test the ability of communities and
Attribution-Non Commercial governments to effectively protect their people and infrastructure by reducing both human
4.0 International License
(http://creativecommons.org/ and property loss, and speedy recovery (Altay and Green, 2006). Earthquakes are one
licenses/by-nc/4.0/), permitting of the worst natural disasters that cause huge loss to lives, property, and the economy.
all noncommercial use, Recent earthquakes (e.g., Turkey in 1999, Taiwan in 2001, Gujarat, India in 2001, the
distribution, and reproduction
in any medium, provided the Indian Ocean in 2004, Kashmir, India in 2005 Sikkim, India in 2011, Tohoku, Japan
original work is properly cited. in 2011, and Nepal in 2015) showed that seismic areas with concentrated population,

30 International Journal of Population Studies | 2020, Volume 6, Issue 1