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Fuladipanah, et al.

























                Figure 2. Innovative polygon trend analysis graph: Groundwater level (G.W.L) records for Turtkul Province

                lowest SD in July (40.0 mm). The IPTA polygon, with   IPTA  polygons  alternate  between  narrow  and  broad,
                steep slopes, reflects strong month-to-month variability   reflecting intermittent heterogeneity and steady seasonal
                during recharge periods. Kanlikul province exhibits a   recharge. Chimbay Province shows a consistent increase
                rising trend, with mean groundwater levels increasing   in groundwater levels from spring to autumn, with values
                from 220.1 mm in January to 257.2 mm in November.   rising from 134 mm in January to 215 mm in December.
                The IPTA polygons vary in slope and length, indicating   The moderately broad IPTA polygons suggest well-
                significant  temporal  changes  during  wetter  periods.   balanced seasonal changes and a continuous upward
                Variability  decreases  significantly  during  the  second   trend. Karauzyak Province demonstrates a sharp increase
                half of the year. Kungirot Province experiences an   in groundwater levels, from 136  mm in January to
                annual increase in groundwater levels, from 134  mm   215 mm in December. The peak SD in January (67.4 mm)
                in January to 215 mm in December. The SD peaks in   signals  significant  variability  during  colder  months.
                January  (67.4  mm),  highlighting  substantial  winter   The broad IPTA polygons highlight intense seasonal
                variability.  Moderate  broad  IPTA  polygons  reflect   variability during peak recharge periods.  Takhtakopir
                balanced  seasonal change with pronounced recharge   Province maintains stable groundwater levels throughout
                phases. Muynak Province exhibits the highest seasonal   the year, increasing from 97 mm in January to 153 mm
                variability, with groundwater levels rising sharply   in December. Low SD values across all months and
                from 244.8 mm in January to 271.5 mm in December.   narrow IPTA polygons reflect uniform temporal patterns
                Variability  is highest in January (SD=78.6  mm),   with  limited  month-to-month  differences.  Finally,  the
                signifying substantial temporal  heterogeneity. Broad   aggregated data for the Republic of Karakalpakstan
                IPTA polygons represent strong inter-month differences,   reflect significant increases in groundwater levels during
                particularly during peak wet periods. Nukus Province   wetter months, with a regional peak of 291 mm in July.
                shows  relatively  stable groundwater levels, with a   The broader IPTA polygons capture the diverse climatic
                notable increase in May (139  mm).  The highest SD   and hydrological influences across the provinces. These
                is recorded in January (67.4  mm).  The narrow IPTA   patterns  underscore  the  importance  of  comprehensive
                polygons  reflect  consistent  hydrometeorological   water resource management strategies to address seasonal
                conditions  with minimal  monthly  variability. Kegeyli   variability and ensure sustainable groundwater use.
                Province saw groundwater levels rise from 152 mm in
                January to 186 mm in November. January again shows   3.2.3. SR correlation test
                the highest variability  (SD=67.4  mm). Steep IPTA   The  SR  trend  analysis  across  different  provinces
                polygon slopes indicate substantial seasonal variability,   of the Republic  of Karakalpakstan,  Uzbekistan,
                likely driven by pronounced recharge during wetter   highlights significant spatial and temporal variations in
                months. Buzatau Province displays a gradual increase   groundwater level trends.
                in  groundwater  levels  from  53.0  mm  in  January  to   In Turtkul province (Table 5), most months exhibit
                77 mm in December. SD remains relatively stable. The   no  statistically  significant  trends,  with  the  exception



                Volume 22 Issue 3 (2025)                       128                           doi: 10.36922/AJWEP025080052
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