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Explora: Environment
            and Resource                                                 WTW emissions of road, rail, sea, and air transport



            2.5.2. Air transport                               of a mission input file is shown in Table S3b. Variable taxi-

            The methods available for estimating aircraft FC and   out (triangular distribution T: 5, 30, and 10 min, defined
            emissions include analysis of payload-range diagrams, 25-27    as  T:  min,  max,  and  mode)  and  taxi-in  (T:  5,  10,  and
            average flight emission estimates, 28-30  and detailed in-flight   6 min) phases were added in the simulation to construct
                                                               a complete operational profile that defined taxi time, true
            emission  models. 31-33   For  this  study,  the  Air  Transport
            Emission Model (ATEM) was used.  ATEM uses an      air speed, phase distance traveled, and average altitude.
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            approach that strikes a balance between a complex and   Relevant atmospheric conditions at different altitudes
            detailed high-resolution FC and emissions simulation, and   (temperature, density, and pressure) were obtained,
            high-level average flight emission estimates.      assuming (still air) International Standard Atmosphere
                                                               (ISA) conditions (Table S3c).
              ATEM simulated aircraft tank-to-wing FC over a full
                                                                 Two  operational  aircraft  modes  were  modeled,
            operational profile for both aircraft types and for engine   reflecting two commonly used aircraft in Australia and
            combinations with available input parameters. An example   different engine options:
            of an aircraft/engine input file is shown in Table S3a. FC
            during the taxi-in and taxi-out modes was estimated   •   Mode  1:  Fully-laden  and  maximum  mass  aircraft
            for the varying taxi times using corresponding aircraft/  (i.e., maximum take-off weight, MTOW); 70 t for a
                                                                  B737 and 78 t for an A320, which would include both
            engine-specific FC rates. For the other non-cruise phases,   passengers and cargo or, alternatively, just cargo, and
            FC was estimated using the fuel fraction method, which   where the mass of on-board fuel could be estimated
            is expected to provide reasonably accurate and robust   before the simulation
            results.  This approach assumes that a certain percentage   •   Mode 2: Variable payload (either passengers only or
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            of aircraft mass was used as fuel from take-off (end of taxi-
            out) to cruise conditions and that a certain percentage of   cargo only), reflecting the plausible range in the load
                                                                  factor, and where the mass of on-board fuel was not
            aircraft mass was used as fuel from cruise conditions to   known before the simulation and required model
            landing (start of taxi-in).
                                                                  iteration.
              FC during the cruise mode was simulated in more    The second mode required an iterative simulation, in
            detail. In-flight cruise describes the portion of a flight   which the initial (seed) fuel burn for the flight and extra
            from the point where the aircraft has leveled off following   fuel was repeatedly replaced with recomputed fuel burn
            a climb to its initial cruising altitude until the point where   until the simulation converged and the prediction error
            it commences its descent.  Under cruise conditions, the   was negligible (<0.01%).
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            aircraft mass is constantly decreasing due to fuel being   The great circle distance (GCD) between Brisbane
            consumed, and the effect of this reduction in mass on   and Melbourne was estimated to be between 1,379 and
            FC itself is significant, in contrast to other transport   1,382  km (https://www.airportdistancecalculator.com/
            modes. This was simulated on a continuous basis using a   brisbane-australia-to-melbourne-australia-flight-time.
            total energy approach. 32,36  Assuming a constant air speed   html). Actual flight distance is subject to a wide range of
            and altitude under cruise conditions, the drag force on   influences, such as air traffic control constraints, restricted
            an aircraft is equal to the net thrust. FC could then be   air space, and prevailing winds. The International Civil
            estimated for each minute after considering the change in   Aviation Organization (ICAO) allows for this by adding
            aircraft mass.
                                                               100 km to the GCD for flights with GCD values between
              The  prediction of  formulas  and associated  aircraft/  550 and 5,500 km,  which, in this case, added 7% to the
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            engine  parameters  was  obtained  from  various   total flight distance (U: 1,479 and 1,482).
            studies. 25,32,35-39  A full list of ATEM model inputs and model   The impact of headwinds or tailwinds – defined as the
            variables is presented in Table S4. The FC estimates for the   ratio of air distance to ground distance – varies between 0.7
            various flight modes were combined, and the result was   and 1.6.  In reality, this will depend on local wind fields,
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            multiplied by 3.16 to convert it to CO -e emissions. 28  which, in turn, depend on time of year, hour of day, and so
                                          2
              A typical operational profile was constructed using   forth. For this study, the potential impact of (vectorized)
            information from the Eurocontrol aircraft performance   headwind or tailwind during a flight was modeled as the
            database,  which describes relevant parameters for ten   ratio of air distance to ground distance and was assumed
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            flight phases from take-off to landing, including cruise   to vary between 0.9 and 1.1 with a triangular distribution
            and climb/descent to different flight levels. These include   (T: 0.90, 1.10, and 1.00). After applying the corrections for
            aircraft-specific parameters such as indicated air speed,   GCD and wind speed, the total flight distance (in the air)
            rate of climb, cruise speed, and rate of descent. An example   varied  between  1,334  and  1,628  km,  with  a  mean  value


            Volume 1 Issue 1 (2024)                         6                                doi: 10.36922/eer.3471
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