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Global Health Econ Sustain                                         An analysis of national economic resilience



            refers to the capacity of an economy (whether of a   and the  results  of counterfactual non-shock  disturbance
            country or a region) to absorb shocks and rapidly bounce   path through causal model, so as to measure the economic
            back (Martin, 2012; Bristow & Healy, 2020). From the   resilience (Brakman et al., 2015). For example, Fingleton
            existing research, different branches of economics pay   et al. (2012), Doran & Fingleton (2016; 2018), and Zhou
            different attention to economic resilience. In the field of   et al. (2020) evaluated the economic resilience using this
            development economics, the existing research focuses   method.
            on the development perspective of getting rid of poverty   In sum, the main issue with existing research is their
            and becoming rich. They tend to analyze the vulnerability   sole focus on regional economic resilience, neglecting
            and risk resistance of the poor class and small economies   the national level. The main contribution of this paper
            (Chaudhuri et al., 2002). In the field of regional economics,   is  providing  a foundational  framework  for studying
            the study of economic resilience is mainly committed   and measuring economic resilience at the national
            to measuring and investigating the ability and impact   level.
            factors of regional economic resilience and sustainable
            development (Christopherson et al., 2010; Martin et al.,   3. The progression of COVID-19 epidemic
            2015; Bristow & Healy, 2020; Jin & Qian, 2020). Research   and the economic policies in China
            in the field of macroeconomics focuses on the ability of a
            country’s economy to return to the original growth path   This pandemic has manifested distinct characteristics
            after encountering external shocks. This kind of economic   across various phases, which can be used to delineate
            resilience not only includes the influence of endogenous   COVID-19’s progression in China into four stages, as
            factors such as economic scale and economic strength   depicted in Figure 1: the incubation stage, outbreak stage,
            but also emphasizes the contribution of macroeconomic   resolution stage, and stable stage (Jin et al., 2022).
            policies (Aiginger, 2009; Hallegatte, 2014; Klimek et al.,   3.1. Incubation stage
            2019; Soufi et al., 2022).
                                                               During the incubation stage, the COVID-19 epidemic has
              Another research focus concerns the measurement of
            economic  resilience, which can  be broadly categorized   not yet erupted, nor has it had a huge impact on China’s
                                                               economy (Jin and Qian, 2020). Therefore, the Chinese
            into three groups. The first involves assessing economic   government  has  not  issued  any  economic,  financial,  or
            resilience  through  descriptive  and  explanatory  case   industrial policies for dealing with the economic shocks.
            analyses.  Bondonio  &  Greenbaum  (2018)  examine  the
            resilience of county-level economies in the USA to rare   3.2. Outbreak stage
            natural disasters. Angulo et al. (2018) analyzed the ability
            to resist the economic crisis in Spain from three aspects,   After the outbreak of COVID-19 in China, the government
            namely,  engineering  resilience,  ecological  resilience,  and   took strict closure measures, which severely hit most
            evolutionary resilience. Second, measuring economic   economic industries, especially entertainment, retail,
            resilience by building a composite index. Briguglio (2003)   catering and other industries, as well as small and
            and Briguglio et al. (2009) constructed a composite index   micromanufacturing enterprises. Many enterprises
            of economic resilience including macroeconomic stability,   were forced to stop production activities, and their loan
            microeconomic market efficiency, governance, and social   repayment capacity was greatly reduced, resulting in the
            cohesion to rank the economic resilience for various   continuous increase of bad debts of financial institutions
            countries (regions). Guillaumont (2009) measured regional   (Jin et al., 2022).
            economic resilience from five dimensions: national scale,   To alleviate the huge impact of this epidemic, the
            spatial location, industrial specialization degree, natural   Chinese government implemented active fiscal policies
            disasters severity, and export trade stability. Martin   and easy monetary policies. There are four main aspects
            et al. (2015) captured economic resilience from the four   of  fiscal  policy  in  this  period.  First,  the  tax  payment
            dimensions of resistance, adaptation, organization, and   deadline of enterprises is allowed to be extended. For
            recovery. This definition highlights economic resilience   example, the State Administration of Taxation announced
            as an adaptive resilience, which is affirmed and adopted   on  January  30,  2020,  that  the  tax  payment  deadline  in
            by  many researchers  (Nyström,  2018).  The  last group  is   February 2020 would be extended to February 24, 2020.
            measuring economic resilience by using econometric   Second, loan interest subsidy was provided for small and
            models to calculate the speed of economic recovery.   micro enterprises. The Ministry of Finance proposed
            Specifically, some researchers select variables that reflect   on February 2, 2020, that the central government would
            the degree of economic shock and compare the gap between   give interest subsidies to small and microenterprises
            the real situation of variables before and after the shock   at 50% of the loan interest rate for a period of no more


            Volume 2 Issue 2 (2024)                         3                        https://doi.org/10.36922/ghes.1842
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