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Collocation method with flood-based metaheuristic optimizer for optimal control ...

                               10 6                                10 6
                                                                                    *
                                                                                     *
                                             Without optimal control    With threefold optimal control u ,u ,u *
                             11                                                     1  2  3
                                                                 10
                             10
                             9                                    8
                             S  8                                S
                                                                  6
                             7
                             6                                    4
                             5
                                                                  2
                              0   100   200  300  400  500        0    100  200  300  400  500
                                         Time (days)                         Time (days)
                           (a 1 ) Susceptible people under no control.  (a 2 ) Susceptible people under optimal control.
                               10 7                                10 7
                                                                 3.5
                             2.9
                             2.8
                                                                                    *
                                                                                     *
                                                                        With threefold optimal control u ,u ,u *
                                                                                    1  2  3
                            V                Without optimal control  V  3
                             2.7
                             2.6
                             2.5
                                                                 2.5
                              0   100   200  300  400  500        0    100  200  300  400  500
                                         Time (days)                         Time (days)
                           (b 1 ) Vaccinated people under no control.  (b 2 ) Vaccinated people under optimal control.
                                4
                               10
                                                                                     *
                                                                                    *
                                             Without optimal control  6000  With threefold optimal control u ,u ,u *
                             8                                                      1  2  3
                                                                5000
                             6
                                                                4000
                             I c                               I c
                                                                3000
                             4
                                                                2000
                             2
                                                                1000
                                                                  0
                              0   100   200  300  400  500        0    100  200  300  400  500
                                         Time (days)                         Time (days)
                          (c 1 ) Infected population with common strain  (c 2 ) Infected population with common strain
                                    under no control.                 under optimal control.
                                                                                     *
                                                                                    *
                            2500             Without optimal control    With threefold optimal control u ,u ,u *
                                                                                    1  2  3
                                                                 150
                            2000
                            1500                                 100
                           I v                                  I v
                            1000
                                                                 50
                            500
                                                                  0
                              0   100   200  300  400  500        0    100  200  300  400  500
                                         Time (days)                         Time (days)
                         (d 1 ) Infected population with amplified strain  (d 2 ) Infected population with amplified strain
                                    under no control.                 under optimal control.
                               10 6                                10 5
                                                                9.52
                             2.5
                                                                 9.5
                                             Without optimal control  9.48
                             2
                            R                                   R  9.46
                                                                9.44
                             1.5                                                    *  *  *
                                                                9.42    With threefold optimal control u ,u ,u 3
                                                                                    1
                                                                                     2
                                                                 9.4
                             1
                              0   100   200  300  400  500        0    100  200  300  400  500
                                         Time (days)                         Time (days)
                            (e 1 ) Recovered people under no control.  (e 2 ) Recovered people under optimal control.
                                                                   ∗
                                                                ∗
                                                             ∗
                    Figure 5. Effects of threefold optimal control u , u , u on various population groups over the
                                                                2
                                                             1
                                                                   3
                    time period [0, 500]
            Table 5. Overview of the cost-effectiveness evaluation
                           Scenario                            A c        A v       E c    E v
                                                 ∗
                           Twofold optimal control u , u ∗  1.9430e+06 1.1226e+04 1.1264 2.8064
                                                 1  2
                                                   ∗
                                                     ∗
                           Threefold optimal control u , u , u ∗  1.9875e+06 1.2394e+04 1.1522 3.0985
                                                   1  2  3
                                                           307
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