Page 143 - GHES-2-4
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Global Health Economics and
            Sustainability
                                                                                    Silver economy and long-term care


            of social security systems due to the decrease in the   2021). Changes in the age distribution of populations are
            contribution to social system revenues and the increase in   observed in high-income countries (for example, in Japan,
            payments for retirement and social services due to various   the number of people over the age of 60 years comprises
            reasons, such as unemployment, informal employment,   30% of the population); however, significant changes will
            low wages, aging population, early retirement, economic   also  occur  in  low-  and middle-income  countries  in  the
            instability, and migration.                        coming years. By 2050, many Organization for Economic
              With regard to social services, an aging population can   Co-operation and Development (OECD) countries are
            cause significant changes in economies with the increased   expected to be aging, increasing the demand for long-
            demand for health services, nursing homes, and other   term care services. Even Turkey, which has the youngest
            social services. This  situation may require  governments   population among OECD countries, is projected to have
            to rethink social and health service budgets and policies.   17.6% of its population aged 65  years and over in 2050
            The consumption habits of older individuals often differ.   (Bal, 2016). Therefore, a sustainable method for financing
            Difficulties in adapting to new technology and changing   long-term care services must be established.
            daily habits may also result in negative impacts on the   Long-term care services are provided to people with
            quality of life of elderly individuals. The health effects of   reduced physical or cognitive capacity, including health
            the silver economy include the risk of aging and chronic   and social care activities, and people dependent on external
            diseases,  which  may  require  healthcare  systems  to  cope   assistance to perform basic daily activities for an extended
            with chronic diseases. Increased demand for health services   period (Bal, 2016). In general, long-term care services
            and  healthcare  costs  may impose  significant burdens   are  provided  by professional caregivers,  paid  caregivers,
            on health systems. Nonetheless, the aging population’s   or family members (usually women) in the home of the
            demand for health and social services may create new   person receiving the service, in an institution providing
            opportunities in these sectors, and economies may be   daytime services to elderly adults, or in living spaces such
            positively affected by this demographic change (Streicher   as supervised nursing homes. The need for long-term
            et al., 2022; Costa-Font & Vilaplana-Prieto, 2023; Spitzer   care arises due to illness, disability, chronic diseases, or
            & Reiter, 2024.). Therefore, governments must evaluate   problems arising from old age, and the duration of the
            their economies from a sustainability perspective within   need for long-term care varies depending on the cause for
            the aging framework and the needs that will develop due   the same. As a natural consequence of aging, the demand
            to aging and make investments in  this field.  The  most   for long-term services is increasing, and expenditures
            decisive feature of the silver economy is the needs arising   in  this  area are  steadily rising,  threatening  the  financial
            from  aging  because  of  prolonged  life  expectancy.  Aging   sustainability of society as the number of elderly individuals
            and the accompanying chronic diseases create the need   who need professional medical care or support in activities
            for long-term care, bringing healthcare to the forefront   of daily living because of illness increases. Long-term care
            in this respect. In fact literature stated that long-term care   is labor-intensive, expensive under all circumstances, and
            services are considered as an important sector in the care   requires more dedication and professionalism than other
            economy after child care/education (Ilkkaracan & Kim,   care services with unique emotional aspects (Bal, 2016).
            2019; Norouzi & Angel, 2023).                      In 2021, approximately $467.4 billion was spent on long-
                                                               term services and supports, representing 13.2% of the $3.6
              The increase in life expectancy at birth (LEAB); the
            slowdown in the fertility rate; social, cultural, economic,   trillion spent on personal healthcare in U.S.(Congressional
            and technological transformations; and developments in   Research Service, 2023).
            the field of health have led to an increase in the elderly   Regarding financial sustainability, long-term care
            population.  Furthermore,  health  services  provided  to   expenditures have become a priority policy issue in many
            elderly individuals are more expensive than those provided   countries with aging populations, such as the OECD
            to younger individuals (Demirci et al., 2019). Due to the   nations. Studies emphasize that the aging population
            high incidence of chronic diseases in elderly adults, they   will put pressure on the healthcare system and the social
            benefit more from long-term care services. According   security system (Aina et al., 2021; Cristea et al., 2020; Vlad
            to the World Health Organization data, 1 out of every 6   & Mădălina, 2012). Moreover, solutions to be implemented
            people in the world will be 60 years of age or older in 2030,   through  high  premium taxes will  put pressure on  the
            and the  number of  individuals  aged 60  years  and older   economy. Research shows different and contradictory
            is expected to double in 2050 (2.1 billion). Furthermore,   results on this relationship, and how and why long-term
            individuals aged 80 years and older are expected to triple   care expenditures affect life expectancy remains unclear
            between 2020 and 2050, reaching 426 million (WHO,   (Spielauer, 2001).  The  ambiguity  of the  relationship


            Volume 2 Issue 4 (2024)                         2                        https://doi.org/10.36922/ghes.3298
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