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Global Health Economics and
            Sustainability
                                                                             Vaccine hesitancy in the US, India, and China


            these states, which were divided into red, red/blue or   The age is another important criterion; the maximum
            swing states, or blue states, depending on the results of   age is 90 and the minimum age is 20 in the data set. We
            presidential elections over the past decade. All missing   calculated the age from the year of birth to the current year
            values were omitted, resulting in a final dataset of 5,758   and saw that old individuals are the most hesitant, followed
            respondents.                                       by the mid-age group and young groups. When we combine

              Table 2 describes the summary statistics of baseline   both unsure and hesitant groups, both mid and old-age
            characteristics among the three hesitancy groups. The Chi-  groups are at 94.1% of vaccine hesitancy, while the young
            square test of significance and p-values are reported. Gender,   group is at 92.9%. These numbers are in the ballpark, so a
            MH services, income, race, marital status, education, and   clearer conclusion about the age and hesitancy cannot be
            stress indicators such as anxiety, worry, interest, being down,   made. There are other studies that support this conclusion.
            region, visual impairment, mobility, and remembering were   4.2.1. Model 1: MLR
            statistically significant (p < 0.05). Figure 1 shows the counts
            of the vaccine hesitancy status of the households in the US.   Considering previous literature and other vaccine hesitancy
            The maximum proportion of the households was “Hesitant,”   studies, we selected the above-mentioned factors that
            followed by “Unsure” about taking a vaccine.       would contribute to understanding the outcome of interest
                                                               (vaccine hesitancy). Model 1 considers the full model,
            4.2. Primary results                               including all the samples and the 17 chosen variables.
            Those who did not receive MH services exhibited higher   We considered the variables to be significant if
            percentages of vaccine hesitancy (strongly hesitant+   p < 0.05 and with OR >1 compared to the reference
            hesitant = 61%) than those who received MH services   group.  Furthermore,  we  created  a joint  p-value  called a
            (strongly hesitant+ hesitant = 56%) (Figure 2A). Among   combined p-value that gathers the information from both
            the vaccine-hesitant groups, transgender individuals had   comparisons and is utilized for testing the overall result.
            the highest level of hesitancy, followed by males and females   The cut-off for this combined p-value is also 0.05.
            (Figure 2B). Individuals receiving MH (Figure 3B) services   In Model 1, the MLR analysis is carried out, in which
            appeared to be less vaccine-hesitant than those who did not   we have considered the “Hesitant” and “Strongly hesitant”
            receive any MH services. The West and Midwest regions   categories in one group. This is the full model. The
            were mostly hesitant toward vaccines, followed by the   computational algorithm converged, thereby providing
            northeast and south (Figure  4A).  Graphically, it seemed   the estimates of the coefficients. In Model 2, the BLR was
            that middle-and low-income groups were more likely to   applied to two groups. In Model 3, the dataset was split
            be unsure and hesitant than high-income groups, while   into training and testing datasets, and the prediction
            White individuals were more hesitant, followed by other   accuracies, sensitivities, and specificities were reported.
            racial groups and Black individuals (Figure  5A  and  B).   In all the models, “Not hesitant” was considered as the
            Those who reported “not at all” anxious and “not at all”
            losing  interest  were  more  likely  to  be  vaccine-hesitant   reference category. Results from Model 1 MLR relating
            (Figure  8B). Those with some degree/being high school   sociodemographic and health characteristics to the odds
            graduates were also more likely to be vaccine-hesitant   of belonging to three hesitancy classes (n = 5758). The OR
                                                               estimate, 95% confidence interval (CI), and the p-values
            (Figure 6A). In addition, females receiving MH services   corresponding to the Wald test are reported. Reference
            were more likely to be hesitant/unsure about vaccines   categories are in parenthesis in Table 3.
            (Figure 3B). The distribution of vaccine hesitancy status
            across the US is shown in Figure 7. Race is a major criterion   Males were more likely to be hesitant or unsure about
            in assessing the variability of responses toward vaccine   vaccines than females. Individuals belonging to the
            hesitancy. In our study, we found that 93.4% of Whites   Northeast and Southern regions are more vaccine hesitant/
            were  hesitant  or  unsure  about  vaccines,  whereas  87.2%   unsure than those in the Midwest. Low-  and middle-
            of Blacks fell into the same categories. Notably, when we   income groups of individuals were more likely to be
            separated the percentages of hesitant and unsure groups,   hesitant or unsure about vaccines than high-income groups.
            we found that Blacks were more unsure about the vaccine   Unmarried individuals were vaccine pro than married
            than Whites. This discrepancy may vary from study to   individuals. Asians are more likely to be in the “Not hesitant”
            study; here, we are dealing with raw survey values rather   groups than other races. Those who are not at all down or
            than weighted values by population. Therefore, this may   worried are more likely to be in the “Not hesitant” group
            be one of the limitations and thus not representative of the   than in the “Hesitant” group. High school students, those
            broader population or align with conclusions from other   having some education, no degree or graduate degree, were
            studies.                                           more likely to be in the “Hesitant” or “Unsure” group than


            Volume 3 Issue 2 (2025)                        142                       https://doi.org/10.36922/ghes.2958
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