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Modeling the renewable energy development in T¨urkiye with optimization

                               MLR (N: 3) / C: 66 of 120 / C : [3  4  6] / Min: 645.0701 / Mean: 1491.9602
                                                       B
                             MAEOPT (N: 3) / C: 66 of 120 / C : [3  4  6] / Min: 597.9554 / Mean: 1369.1578
                                                         B
                             3000
                                                                          MLR:MAE
                                                                          MLR: MeanMAE
                                                                          MAEOPT:MAE
                             2500                                         MAEOPT: MeanMAE



                             2000
                            MW


                             1500




                             1000



                              500
                                 0        20       40        60       80       100      120
                                                        Combinations

                                             Figure 3. MAE Results for Case 2

                                        MLR (N: 4) / C: 146 of 210 / C : [3  4  6  7] / Min: 597.4468 / Mean: 1178.807
                                                         B
                                      MAEOPT (N: 4) / C: 146 of 210 / C : [3  4  6  7] / Min: 531.7638 / Mean: 1054.4672
                                                          B
                           2400
                                                                                   MLR:MAE
                                                                                   MLR: MeanMAE
                           2200
                                                                                   MAEOPT:MAE
                                                                                   MAEOPT: MeanMAE
                           2000
                           1800

                           1600
                          MW  1400


                           1200

                           1000
                            800

                            600

                            400
                              0     20    40    60    80   100   120   140   160   180   200
                                                          Combinations


                                             Figure 4. MAE Results for Case 3


            performance in terms of MAE and MAPE is much      of an extra modeling variable (Net Energy Im-
            better than that of MLR, while its RMSE value     ports). These models indicate that renewable en-
            is comparably higher. Moreover, the MAPE val-     ergy installations in T¨urkiye are also driven by
            ues improved even further with the consideration  the energy import dependency of the country.



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