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International Journal of
            Population Studies                                                     The paradox of urban decline in India




            Table 3. Share distribution of declining, stabilizing, and growing urban centers by background characteristics
            Characteristics                                Declining             Stabilizing           Growing
            Demographic characteristics
             Population density (per sq. km)
               <5000                                         13.2                  61.1                 25.6
               5000–10000                                     7.4                  60.6                 31.9
               10000–15000                                    6.7                  60.4                 32.9
               >15000                                         7.6                  57.3                 35.1
             Child–woman ratio (per thousand women)
               <200                                          22.2                  64.0                 13.8
               200–250                                       11.4                  65.6                 23.0
               >250                                           6.4                  55.7                 37.9
             Older population share* (aged 60 and above)
               <8                                             1.9                  50.0                 48.1
               8–10                                           5.9                  67.1                 27.0
               10–12                                         17.0                  69.8                 13.2
               >12                                           37.9                  58.6                  3.4
            Other local characteristics
             Civic status
               Cantonment board                              48.3                  41.4                 10.3
               Census town                                   17.5                  47.2                 35.3
               Municipality                                   9.1                  70.1                 20.8
               Municipal council                              7.9                  66.9                 25.2
               Municipal corporation                          9.2                  52.6                 37.5
             Nearest city distance (km)
               <20                                           11.8                  50.9                 37.3
               20–50                                         11.1                  64.9                 24.0
               >50                                           11.6                  64.8                 23.6
             Agglomeration part
               Agglomeration urban centers                   14.2                  52.0                 33.8
               Non-agglomeration urban centers               10.6                  63.6                 25.9
             Year of origin
               1901–1941                                      8.7                  71.0                 20.4
               1951–1981                                     12.5                  58.7                 28.8
               1991–2001                                     13.6                  51.4                 35.0
             Area change status
               Area declined                                  6.7                  60.1                 33.3
               Area same                                     11.8                  63.6                 24.6
               Area increased                                14.0                  61.3                 24.7
            *The older population share data were limited to only class I cities.
            facilities, infrastructure, opportunity,  etc. This study has   centers. Several urban centers, such as Banasthali, Neyveli,
            also found that demographic factors such as population   and Valparai, were declining due to the low child–woman
            size, child-woman ratio, and aging were significantly   ratio (fertility). Socioeconomic factors such as governance,
            associated with population decline. Overall, population   proximity to other cities, and age of the town are associated
            decline is more apparent in small- and medium-sized urban   with population decline. Administrative units such as



            Volume 11 Issue 6 (2025)                        76                        https://doi.org/10.36922/ijps.3107
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